Sparrow Data

Pick history — Munetaka Murakami

Munetaka Murakami

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 64 games across 64 nights, from 70 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 6 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 15.09 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

18%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-12	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.255	0.282	0.90x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-17	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.278	0.87x	+career hard-hit rate, −SP career HR rate	no
2026-07-18	AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.291	0.275	1.06x	+SP strikeout rate, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-19	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.271	0.89x	+career hard-hit rate, −SP career HR rate	no
2026-07-20	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.255	0.268	0.95x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-21	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.264	0.91x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-22	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.261	0.92x	+career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-24	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.258	0.93x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-25	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.227	0.255	0.89x	+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-26	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.252	0.96x	+career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-07-27	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.261	0.81x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-28	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.258	0.94x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-30	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.263	0.92x	+season hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-31	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.291	0.260	1.12x	+SP strikeout rate, +season hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-01	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.268	0.90x	+season hard-hit rate, −SP career HR rate	no
2026-08-02	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.265	0.91x	+season hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-04	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.231	0.263	0.88x	+season hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-05	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.260	0.93x	+season hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-06	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.227	0.257	0.88x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-07	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.254	0.83x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-08	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.262	0.92x	+season hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-09	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.270	0.89x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-11	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.280	0.267	1.05x	+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-08-12	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.286	0.264	1.08x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-14	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.262	0.92x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-15	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.269	0.90x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-16	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.266	0.91x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-17	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.291	0.273	1.06x	+season hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-08-18	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.271	0.89x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-19	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.255	0.278	0.92x	+career hard-hit rate, −SP career HR rate	no
2026-08-20	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.291	0.275	1.06x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-21	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.255	0.272	0.93x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-22	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.270	0.89x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-23	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.267	0.90x	+career hard-hit rate, −SP career HR rate	no
2026-08-24	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.265	0.91x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-25	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.263	0.92x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-26	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.260	0.93x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-28	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.258	0.93x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-29	ELEVATED, FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.291	0.256	1.14x	+SP strikeout rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-30	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.255	0.254	1.00x	+season hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-31	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.255	0.251	1.01x	+park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-01	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.286	0.249	1.15x	+park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-02	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.255	0.247	1.03x	+park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-03	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.226	0.245	0.92x	+park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-04	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.243	0.99x	+career barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-05	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.241	1.00x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-09-06	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.273	0.247	1.10x	+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-08	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.245	0.98x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-09	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.243	0.99x	+season hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-09-10	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.249	0.97x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-11	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.226	0.247	0.91x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-09-12	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.231	0.247	0.93x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-13	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.245	0.98x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-14	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.244	0.99x	+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-15	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.242	1.00x	+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-16	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.240	0.88x	+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-09-17	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.240	1.00x	+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate	HOME RUN
2026-09-18	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.255	0.246	1.04x	+career barrel rate, +SP fly balls allowed	no
2026-09-19	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.244	0.86x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-20	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.227	0.242	0.94x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-23	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.237	0.246	0.96x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-24	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.244	0.99x	−park factor, +SP strikeout rate	no
2026-09-25	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.286	0.242	1.18x	+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate	HOME RUN
2026-09-26	FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.255	0.248	1.03x	+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate	no grade — game not played

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data