ELEVATED4 of 15 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS1 of 5 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.3.
AROUND SLATE1 of 13 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 1.
FAVORITES3 of 9 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
MOUND SUPPRESS6 home runs allowed across 4 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 5 — which is not what we called for.
MOUND VULN2 home runs allowed across 1 start. A typical night for those lineups is 0.7 — which is what we called for.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
BAL @ TB12:15 PMTropicana Fieldneutral park90°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS IN+0.5% carry
Temp90°F
Humidity62%
Wind5 mph
Pressure1017 mb
Air density1.146 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.88 times vs 1.07 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
0 HR allowed
AZ @ ATL1:35 PMTruist Parkhitter-friendly park96°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+4.3% carry
Temp96°F
Humidity36%
Wind6 mph
Pressure982 mb
Air density1.099 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIA @ CIN1:40 PMGreat American Ball Parkhitter-friendly park91°F, wind 11 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+5.2% carry
Temp91°F
Humidity49%
Wind11 mph
Pressure996 mb
Air density1.125 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
COL @ SF4:05 PMOracle Parkpitcher-friendly park58°F, wind 9 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+1.7% carry
Temp58°F
Humidity92%
Wind9 mph
Pressure1016 mb
Air density1.223 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.75 times vs 0.90 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
2 HR allowed
TEX @ ATH4:05 PMSutter Health Parkhitter-friendly park80°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+2.5% carry
Temp80°F
Humidity36%
Wind6 mph
Pressure1013 mb
Air density1.170 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.95 times vs 0.68 normally · MOUND
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
2 HR allowed
MIL @ LAD4:10 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park71°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+1.6% carry
Temp71°F
Humidity74%
Wind5 mph
Pressure995 mb
Air density1.169 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data