ELEVATED5 of 14 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS1 of 6 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.5.
AROUND SLATE3 of 14 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
FAVORITES2 of 11 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 3.
MOUND SUPPRESS3 home runs allowed across 4 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 4 — which is what we called for.
MOUND VULN0 home runs allowed across 1 start. A typical night for those lineups is 1 — which is not what we called for.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
SF @ SEA10:10 PMT-Mobile Parkneutral park70°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+2.1% carry
Temp70°F
Humidity55%
Wind4 mph
Pressure1015 mb
Air density1.196 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
we say 24%+4.1% over normal1.20x · ELEVATED · ATS · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +season hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Chris Sale
lineup expected to homer 0.96 times vs 1.11 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
0 HR allowed
MIA @ MIL7:40 PMAmerican Family Fieldhitter-friendly park93°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+6.1% carry
Temp93°F
Humidity48%
Wind10 mph
Pressure990 mb
Air density1.113 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIN @ CHC8:05 PMWrigley Fieldneutral park84°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+5.0% carry
Temp84°F
Humidity79%
Wind5 mph
Pressure992 mb
Air density1.129 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
BAL @ HOU8:10 PMDaikin Parkhitter-friendly park86°F, wind 9 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+3.1% carry
Temp86°F
Humidity75%
Wind9 mph
Pressure1016 mb
Air density1.154 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
DET @ LAA9:38 PMAngel Stadiumhitter-friendly park80°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+3.5% carry
Temp80°F
Humidity61%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1007 mb
Air density1.159 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
WSH @ ATH9:40 PMSutter Health Parkhitter-friendly park90°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+5.4% carry
Temp90°F
Humidity24%
Wind10 mph
Pressure1009 mb
Air density1.145 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data