ELEVATED4 of 16 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS2 of 6 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.4.
AROUND SLATE4 of 14 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
FAVORITES0 of 10 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
MOUND SUPPRESS3 home runs allowed across 4 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 4 — which is what we called for.
MOUND VULN1 home runs allowed across 1 start. That's right about what a typical night for those lineups gives.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
DET @ CWS2:10 PMRate Fieldneutral park67°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS IN-0.9% carry
Temp67°F
Humidity96%
Wind4 mph
Pressure992 mb
Rain chance27%
Air density1.171 kg/m³
Open-air park.
2pm69°92% rh3mph37% rain
3pm70°92% rh2mph27% rain
4pm71°91% rh2mph27% rain
5pm68°94% rh5mph26% rain
6pm67°96% rh4mph27% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIL @ BAL4:05 PMOriole Park at Camden Yardshitter-friendly park74°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS IN-1.3% carry
Temp74°F
Humidity58%
Wind4 mph
Pressure1018 mb
Rain chance5%
Air density1.188 kg/m³
Open-air park.
4pm80°46% rh7mph1% rain
5pm80°47% rh7mph5% rain
6pm78°52% rh7mph5% rain
7pm76°54% rh5mph2% rain
8pm74°58% rh4mph5% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Roof CLOSED — the forecast below does not reach the field.
4pm89°55% rh5mph10% rain
5pm88°53% rh1mph15% rain
6pm76°89% rh18mph44% rain
7pm76°82% rh9mph45% rain
8pm76°84% rh13mph29% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
ATH @ CLE6:10 PMProgressive Fieldpitcher-friendly park65°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS IN-1.8% carry
Temp65°F
Humidity92%
Wind4 mph
Pressure990 mb
Rain chance47%
Air density1.175 kg/m³
Open-air park.
6pm70°77% rh5mph35% rain
7pm69°82% rh5mph41% rain
8pm66°93% rh9mph58% rain
9pm66°93% rh8mph45% rain
10pm65°92% rh4mph47% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
TOR @ TEX7:05 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park85°F, wind 11 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND-0.3% carry
Temp85°F
Humidity46%
Wind11 mph
Pressure992 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.133 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
7pm93°37% rh8mph0% rain
8pm91°35% rh7mph0% rain
9pm89°36% rh8mph0% rain
10pm87°40% rh10mph0% rain
11pm85°46% rh11mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
7pm84°66% rh9mph0% rain
8pm81°72% rh8mph0% rain
9pm80°72% rh6mph0% rain
10pm79°74% rh5mph0% rain
11pm79°75% rh5mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
8pm88°13% rh2mph0% rain
9pm85°13% rh3mph0% rain
10pm82°15% rh3mph0% rain
11pm81°16% rh1mph0% rain
12am85°24% rh3mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIA @ SD8:40 PMPetco Parkneutral park65°F, wind 3 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND-1.4% carry
Temp65°F
Humidity85%
Wind3 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.202 kg/m³
Open-air park.
8pm69°79% rh3mph0% rain
9pm68°82% rh2mph0% rain
10pm67°83% rh2mph0% rain
11pm66°84% rh2mph0% rain
12am70°82% rh2mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
SF @ LAD9:10 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park65°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND-0.4% carry
Temp65°F
Humidity92%
Wind2 mph
Pressure993 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.179 kg/m³
Open-air park.
9pm66°91% rh2mph0% rain
10pm66°90% rh2mph0% rain
11pm66°90% rh1mph0% rain
12am66°88% rh1mph0% rain
1am66°85% rh2mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.85 times vs 1.01 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
1 HR allowed
Yunior Marte
lineup expected to homer 1.47 times vs 1.13 normally · MOUND
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
1 HR allowed
MIN @ LAA9:38 PMAngel Stadiumhitter-friendly park66°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND-1.3% carry
Temp66°F
Humidity92%
Wind2 mph
Pressure1007 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.194 kg/m³
Open-air park.
9pm70°74% rh2mph0% rain
10pm68°79% rh2mph0% rain
11pm67°84% rh1mph0% rain
12am68°80% rh2mph0% rain
1am68°78% rh2mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data
