ELEVATED1 of 13 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS1 of 6 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.4.
AROUND SLATE2 of 14 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
FAVORITES1 of 9 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
MOUND SUPPRESS2 home runs allowed across 3 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 3 — which is what we called for.
MOUND VULN1 home runs allowed across 1 start. That's right about what a typical night for those lineups gives.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
WSH @ ATH10:05 PMSutter Health Parkhitter-friendly park89°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+4.4% carry
Temp89°F
Humidity19%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1010 mb
Air density1.151 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
DET @ LAA10:07 PMAngel Stadiumhitter-friendly park80°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+2.7% carry
Temp80°F
Humidity59%
Wind6 mph
Pressure1007 mb
Air density1.161 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.88 times vs 0.74 normally · MOUND
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
1 HR allowed
MIN @ CHC2:20 PMWrigley Fieldneutral park85°F, wind 13 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+3.7% carry
Temp85°F
Humidity75%
Wind13 mph
Pressure990 mb
Air density1.127 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
NYM @ PHI3:05 PMCitizens Bank Parkhitter-friendly park88°F, wind 9 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+4.6% carry
Temp88°F
Humidity69%
Wind9 mph
Pressure1009 mb
Air density1.140 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIA @ MIL4:10 PMAmerican Family Fieldhitter-friendly park82°F, wind 14 mph
Weather — WINDS IN+2.3% carry
Temp82°F
Humidity67%
Wind14 mph
Pressure989 mb
Air density1.133 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
BAL @ HOU4:10 PMDaikin Parkhitter-friendly park92°F, wind 3 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+1.9% carry
Temp92°F
Humidity68%
Wind3 mph
Pressure1015 mb
Air density1.139 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
SF @ SEA8:08 PMT-Mobile Parkneutral park71°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+1.7% carry
Temp71°F
Humidity62%
Wind6 mph
Pressure1019 mb
Air density1.197 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data