ELEVATED2 of 16 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS1 of 5 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.3.
AROUND SLATE2 of 8 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.9.
FAVORITES2 of 11 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
MOUND SUPPRESS2 home runs allowed across 3 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 3 — which is what we called for.
MOUND VULN2 home runs allowed across 1 start. A typical night for those lineups is 1 — which is what we called for.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
MIL @ PIT12:35 PMPNC Parkpitcher-friendly park82°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+3.1% carry
Temp82°F
Humidity75%
Wind6 mph
Pressure994 mb
Rain chance9%
Air density1.138 kg/m³
Open-air park.
12pm78°88% rh7mph11% rain
1pm80°85% rh7mph13% rain
2pm82°77% rh8mph15% rain
3pm82°77% rh7mph10% rain
4pm82°75% rh6mph9% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 1.28 times vs 0.98 normally · MOUND
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
2 HR allowed
ATH @ TB1:10 PMTropicana Fieldneutral park86°F, wind 14 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+0.2% carry
Temp86°F
Humidity59%
Wind14 mph
Pressure1015 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.157 kg/m³
Roof CLOSED — the forecast below does not reach the field.
1pm87°61% rh12mph0% rain
2pm89°57% rh12mph0% rain
3pm89°42% rh13mph0% rain
4pm89°46% rh12mph0% rain
5pm86°59% rh14mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
7pm83°85% rh4mph4% rain
8pm81°87% rh4mph1% rain
9pm80°87% rh4mph1% rain
10pm79°87% rh3mph0% rain
11pm79°87% rh4mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
DET @ CWS7:40 PMRate Fieldneutral park68°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+0.1% carry
Temp68°F
Humidity93%
Wind10 mph
Pressure1002 mb
Rain chance4%
Air density1.182 kg/m³
Open-air park.
7pm68°96% rh6mph7% rain
8pm68°95% rh8mph3% rain
9pm68°94% rh9mph9% rain
10pm68°93% rh12mph12% rain
11pm68°93% rh10mph4% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
BOS @ TEX8:05 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park87°F, wind 7 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND-0.7% carry
Temp87°F
Humidity47%
Wind7 mph
Pressure999 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.138 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
8pm94°38% rh5mph0% rain
9pm92°40% rh5mph0% rain
10pm90°41% rh6mph0% rain
11pm88°44% rh8mph0% rain
12am85°50% rh5mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIN @ LAA9:38 PMAngel Stadiumhitter-friendly park65°F, wind 3 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND-1.7% carry
Temp65°F
Humidity81%
Wind3 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.202 kg/m³
Open-air park.
9pm69°72% rh5mph0% rain
10pm68°74% rh2mph0% rain
11pm67°76% rh2mph0% rain
12am68°74% rh1mph0% rain
1am69°71% rh0mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.84 times vs 0.94 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
1 HR allowed
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data
