ELEVATED1 of 12 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 1.
SLEEPERS0 of 3 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.2.
AROUND SLATE2 of 13 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
FAVORITES2 of 11 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
MOUND SUPPRESS7 home runs allowed across 4 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 4 — which is not what we called for.
MOUND VULN1 home runs allowed across 2 starts. That's right about what a typical night for those lineups gives.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
DET @ SF10:15 PMOracle Parkpitcher-friendly park56°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+1.2% carry
Temp56°F
Humidity100%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1014 mb
Air density1.226 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
TOR @ PHI6:40 PMCitizens Bank Parkhitter-friendly park79°F, wind 3 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+0.4% carry
Temp79°F
Humidity79%
Wind3 mph
Pressure1017 mb
Air density1.173 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.71 times vs 0.57 normally · MOUND
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
0 HR allowed
ATH @ BOS7:10 PMFenway Parkpitcher-friendly park80°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+3.5% carry
Temp80°F
Humidity70%
Wind4 mph
Pressure1016 mb
Air density1.169 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIN @ MIL7:40 PMAmerican Family Fieldhitter-friendly park78°F, wind 9 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+1.6% carry
Temp78°F
Humidity63%
Wind9 mph
Pressure991 mb
Air density1.148 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
BAL @ TEX8:15 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park89°F, wind 7 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+2.2% carry
Temp89°F
Humidity40%
Wind7 mph
Pressure994 mb
Air density1.128 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
COL @ STL8:15 PMBusch Stadiumpitcher-friendly park78°F, wind 0 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+0.0% carry
Temp78°F
Humidity87%
Wind0 mph
Pressure999 mb
Air density1.152 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data