Sparrow Data

Sparrow Data

Board archive — 2026-08-23

2026-08-23

The boards exactly as posted that night, with results. Nothing has been reordered, filtered or removed.

15games
35picks
Shohei Ohtanitop pick · 25%
STL @ PHI1:35 PMCitizens Bank Parkhitter-friendly park82°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +2.7% carry
CF10 mph
Temp82°F
Humidity49%
Wind10 mph
Pressure1010 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.160 kg/m³

Open-air park.

1pm76°75% rh8mph0% rain
2pm79°66% rh9mph1% rain
3pm81°56% rh10mph0% rain
4pm82°49% rh10mph0% rain
5pm82°49% rh10mph0% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

J.T. RealmutoPHIT4 · The Field
we say 10% +1.5% over normal 1.16x · ATS
−SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Kyle SchwarberPHIT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +-0.1% over normal 1.00x · FAVORITES
+park factor, −SP career HR rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Cristopher Sánchez
lineup expected to homer 0.72 times vs 0.83 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
no grade — game not played
TOR @ NYY1:35 PMYankee Stadiumhitter-friendly park78°F, wind 9 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +3.7% carry
CF9 mph
Temp78°F
Humidity72%
Wind9 mph
Pressure1009 mb
Rain chance2%
Air density1.167 kg/m³

Open-air park.

1pm72°94% rh10mph5% rain
2pm73°93% rh8mph5% rain
3pm77°80% rh10mph3% rain
4pm78°75% rh7mph10% rain
5pm78°72% rh9mph2% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TORT4 · The Field
we say 12% +5.5% over normal 1.79x · SLEEPERS · ATS
+park factor, +career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
TB @ BAL1:35 PMOriole Park at Camden Yardshitter-friendly park84°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +3.8% carry
CF10 mph
Temp84°F
Humidity38%
Wind10 mph
Pressure1011 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.160 kg/m³

Open-air park.

1pm81°52% rh10mph0% rain
2pm83°47% rh10mph0% rain
3pm84°43% rh11mph0% rain
4pm84°43% rh10mph0% rain
5pm84°38% rh10mph0% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Tyler O'NeillBALT3 · Solid
we say 16% +5.4% over normal 1.51x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career barrel rate, +SP strikeout rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Jonathan ArandaTBT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.3% over normal 1.26x · ELEVATED
+park factor, +career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Jackson HollidayBALT4 · The Field
we say 12% +3.1% over normal 1.33x · ELEVATED
+park factor, +SP strikeout rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Leody TaverasBALT4 · The Field
we say 10% +3.1% over normal 1.42x · SLEEPERS
+park factor, +SP strikeout rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Pete AlonsoBALT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +1.0% over normal 1.04x · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate
6 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
WSH @ MIA1:40 PMloanDepot parkpitcher-friendly park86°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -0.1% carry
CF5 mph
Temp86°F
Humidity68%
Wind5 mph
Pressure1017 mb
Rain chance13%
Air density1.156 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

1pm90°58% rh9mph4% rain
2pm90°60% rh10mph8% rain
3pm90°60% rh11mph11% rain
4pm90°60% rh9mph11% rain
5pm86°68% rh5mph13% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jakob MarseeMIAT5 · Longshot
we say 9% +2.1% over normal 1.30x · ATS
+SP career HR rate, −career barrel rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
DET @ KC2:10 PMKauffman Stadiumpitcher-friendly park80°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -2.3% carry
CF8 mph
Temp80°F
Humidity37%
Wind8 mph
Pressure986 mb
Rain chance12%
Air density1.140 kg/m³

Open-air park.

2pm85°34% rh6mph2% rain
3pm86°30% rh7mph2% rain
4pm86°28% rh3mph2% rain
5pm84°33% rh11mph7% rain
6pm80°37% rh8mph12% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jac CaglianoneKCT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +3.9% over normal 1.27x · ELEVATED · ATS
−park factor, +career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Daniel Lynch IV
lineup expected to homer 0.76 times vs 0.90 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
no grade — game not played
ATH @ HOU2:10 PMDaikin Parkhitter-friendly park98°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +5.2% carry
CF10 mph
Temp98°F
Humidity45%
Wind10 mph
Pressure1011 mb
Rain chance4%
Air density1.125 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

2pm97°40% rh1mph2% rain
3pm100°37% rh4mph2% rain
4pm101°34% rh4mph2% rain
5pm101°34% rh4mph2% rain
6pm98°45% rh10mph4% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Lawrence ButlerATHT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.3% over normal 1.26x · ELEVATED
+SP fly balls allowed, +park factor
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Henry BolteATHT4 · The Field
we say 13% +4.8% over normal 1.56x · SLEEPERS · ATS
+SP fly balls allowed, +recent hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Yordan AlvarezHOUT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +0.2% over normal 1.01x · FAVORITES
−SP career HR rate, +career hard-hit rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
NYM @ CWS2:10 PMRate Fieldneutral park72°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -0.1% carry
CF6 mph
Temp72°F
Humidity55%
Wind6 mph
Pressure994 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.166 kg/m³

Open-air park.

2pm73°47% rh10mph0% rain
3pm73°50% rh8mph0% rain
4pm73°50% rh6mph0% rain
5pm73°51% rh6mph0% rain
6pm72°55% rh6mph0% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Braden MontgomeryCWST5 · Longshot
we say 9% +-0.2% over normal 0.98x · ATS
−SP career HR rate, −career barrel rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Munetaka MurakamiCWST2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-2.6% over normal 0.90x · FAVORITES
+career hard-hit rate, −SP career HR rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Nolan McLean
lineup expected to homer 0.96 times vs 1.10 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
no grade — game not played
LAA @ TEX2:35 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park106°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +6.1% carry
CF10 mph
Temp106°F
Humidity23%
Wind10 mph
Pressure991 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.090 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

2pm106°24% rh11mph0% rain
3pm107°23% rh11mph0% rain
4pm108°21% rh10mph0% rain
5pm108°21% rh9mph0% rain
6pm106°23% rh10mph0% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Moisés BallesterosLAAT3 · Solid
we say 14% +2.9% over normal 1.27x · ATS
+SP strikeout rate, +season hard-hit rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Joc PedersonTEXT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +1.2% over normal 1.06x · FAVORITES
+career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
CLE @ COL3:10 PMCoors Fieldneutral park76°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -0.1% carry
CF8 mph
Temp76°F
Humidity49%
Wind8 mph
Pressure843 mb
Rain chance9%
Air density0.981 kg/m³

Open-air park.

3pm94°17% rh11mph7% rain
4pm94°19% rh11mph13% rain
5pm75°53% rh11mph22% rain
6pm75°54% rh13mph14% rain
7pm76°49% rh8mph9% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jo AdellCLET2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +5.5% over normal 1.32x · ELEVATED · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
José RamírezCLET3 · Solid
we say 18% +7.3% over normal 1.70x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Nathaniel LoweCLET3 · Solid
we say 18% +3.9% over normal 1.29x · ELEVATED
+SP career barrels allowed, +SP strikeout rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Tomoyuki Sugano
lineup expected to homer 0.97 times vs 0.75 normally · MOUND
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
no grade — game not played
SF @ BOS3:15 PMFenway Parkpitcher-friendly park70°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -0.0% carry
CF5 mph
Temp70°F
Humidity91%
Wind5 mph
Pressure1009 mb
Rain chance6%
Air density1.184 kg/m³

Open-air park.

3pm68°93% rh3mph11% rain
4pm70°92% rh4mph8% rain
5pm72°88% rh4mph13% rain
6pm74°84% rh4mph8% rain
7pm70°91% rh5mph6% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Wilyer AbreuBOST3 · Solid
we say 16% +1.9% over normal 1.13x · ATS
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
CHC @ SEA4:10 PMT-Mobile Parkneutral park67°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -1.4% carry
CF6 mph
Temp67°F
Humidity67%
Wind6 mph
Pressure1018 mb
Rain chance2%
Air density1.206 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

4pm74°55% rh5mph1% rain
5pm73°55% rh6mph2% rain
6pm73°54% rh7mph2% rain
7pm71°60% rh8mph1% rain
8pm67°67% rh6mph2% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Alex BregmanCHCT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.1% over normal 1.28x · ATS
+recent fly-ball rate, +recent hard-hit rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
MIN @ SD4:10 PMPetco Parkneutral park75°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -0.1% carry
CF5 mph
Temp75°F
Humidity75%
Wind5 mph
Pressure1010 mb
Rain chance1%
Air density1.174 kg/m³

Open-air park.

4pm86°51% rh10mph1% rain
5pm85°51% rh8mph1% rain
6pm82°56% rh6mph1% rain
7pm79°66% rh6mph1% rain
8pm75°75% rh5mph1% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Fernando Tatis Jr.SDT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +7.5% over normal 1.56x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate
6 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Byron BuxtonMINT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +-1.8% over normal 0.93x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
PIT @ LAD4:10 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park77°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +2.4% carry
CF4 mph
Temp77°F
Humidity60%
Wind4 mph
Pressure991 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.150 kg/m³

Open-air park.

4pm93°28% rh9mph0% rain
5pm90°32% rh9mph0% rain
6pm86°37% rh7mph0% rain
7pm81°48% rh5mph0% rain
8pm77°60% rh4mph0% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Max MuncyLADT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +3.1% over normal 1.17x · ELEVATED · FAVORITES
+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Kyle TuckerLADT3 · Solid
we say 16% +5.6% over normal 1.54x · ELEVATED · ATS
+park factor, +career barrel rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Henry DavisPITT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.4% over normal 1.31x · ELEVATED
+park factor, +pull tendency
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Nick GonzalesPITT5 · Longshot
we say 8% +3.0% over normal 1.58x · SLEEPERS
+park factor, −SP career HR rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Shohei OhtaniLADT1 · Slugger
we say 25% +1.8% over normal 1.08x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
CIN @ AZ4:15 PMChase Fieldpitcher-friendly park88°F, wind 13 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -2.5% carry
CF13 mph
Temp88°F
Humidity40%
Wind13 mph
Pressure970 mb
Rain chance4%
Air density1.103 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

4pm115°11% rh2mph1% rain
5pm111°12% rh12mph2% rain
6pm87°38% rh16mph2% rain
7pm87°39% rh11mph3% rain
8pm88°40% rh13mph4% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Elly De La CruzCINT2 · Power Bat
we say 19% +3.3% over normal 1.21x · ELEVATED
+SP strikeout rate, +SP career HR rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Tyler StephensonCINT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +4.9% over normal 1.37x · ELEVATED · ATS
+recent barrel rate, +SP career HR rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Gabriel MorenoAZT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.3% over normal 1.30x · ELEVATED
+SP strikeout rate, +park factor
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Lars NootbaarAZT5 · Longshot
we say 9% +4.3% over normal 2.01x · SLEEPERS
−park factor, +recent barrel rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
ATL @ MIL7:10 PMJourney Bank Ballpark62°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — UNKNOWN carry unknown
Temp62°F
Humidity79%
Wind4 mph
Pressure995 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.189 kg/m³

Open-air park.

7pm68°64% rh8mph2% rain
8pm66°76% rh2mph3% rain
9pm65°76% rh3mph0% rain
10pm63°78% rh4mph0% rain
11pm62°79% rh4mph0% rain

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Mike YastrzemskiATLT4 · The Field
we say 12% +2.1% over normal 1.22x · ATS
−park factor, −SP career HR rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Matt OlsonATLT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +-2.1% over normal 0.92x · FAVORITES
−park factor, +season hard-hit rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-22. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data