ELEVATED4 of 16 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS1 of 4 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.3.
AROUND SLATE2 of 15 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
FAVORITES4 of 11 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
MOUND SUPPRESS4 home runs allowed across 4 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 5 — which is what we called for.
MOUND VULN3 home runs allowed across 1 start. A typical night for those lineups is 1 — which is what we called for.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
CIN @ LAD10:10 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park78°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+1.5% carry
Temp78°F
Humidity57%
Wind4 mph
Pressure994 mb
Rain chance2%
Air density1.150 kg/m³
Open-air park.
10pm85°43% rh2mph2% rain
11pm82°50% rh4mph2% rain
12am81°52% rh4mph1% rain
1am80°53% rh3mph1% rain
2am78°57% rh4mph2% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIN @ DET1:10 PMComerica Parkpitcher-friendly park78°F, wind 11 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+1.6% carry
Temp78°F
Humidity80%
Wind11 mph
Pressure992 mb
Rain chance50%
Air density1.147 kg/m³
Open-air park.
1pm73°93% rh9mph30% rain
2pm72°97% rh8mph25% rain
3pm74°93% rh9mph30% rain
4pm78°82% rh12mph29% rain
5pm78°80% rh11mph50% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
TOR @ ATH3:05 PMSutter Health Parkhitter-friendly park94°F, wind 1 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+2.6% carry
Temp94°F
Humidity17%
Wind1 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Rain chance1%
Air density1.142 kg/m³
Open-air park.
3pm99°17% rh6mph0% rain
4pm100°16% rh5mph1% rain
5pm99°15% rh5mph1% rain
6pm99°16% rh3mph1% rain
7pm94°17% rh1mph1% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
4pm75°40% rh7mph1% rain
5pm76°38% rh6mph1% rain
6pm75°45% rh5mph1% rain
7pm71°53% rh4mph2% rain
8pm67°51% rh4mph2% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 1.12 times vs 1.29 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
1 HR allowed
CLE @ BAL6:35 PMOriole Park at Camden Yardshitter-friendly park78°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+1.8% carry
Temp78°F
Humidity52%
Wind4 mph
Pressure1015 mb
Rain chance1%
Air density1.176 kg/m³
Open-air park.
6pm89°41% rh11mph0% rain
7pm86°42% rh8mph0% rain
8pm82°48% rh6mph0% rain
9pm79°54% rh4mph0% rain
10pm78°52% rh4mph1% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
HOU @ PHI6:40 PMCitizens Bank Parkhitter-friendly park76°F, wind 11 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+3.3% carry
Temp76°F
Humidity65%
Wind11 mph
Pressure1016 mb
Rain chance1%
Air density1.180 kg/m³
Open-air park.
6pm85°48% rh10mph0% rain
7pm81°57% rh9mph0% rain
8pm79°62% rh9mph1% rain
9pm77°66% rh10mph1% rain
10pm76°65% rh11mph1% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
6pm84°77% rh6mph4% rain
7pm83°84% rh3mph5% rain
8pm81°89% rh3mph4% rain
9pm81°90% rh3mph3% rain
10pm80°89% rh2mph7% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
COL @ NYY7:05 PMYankee Stadiumhitter-friendly park75°F, wind 11 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+2.0% carry
Temp75°F
Humidity68%
Wind11 mph
Pressure1015 mb
Rain chance1%
Air density1.180 kg/m³
Open-air park.
7pm82°47% rh10mph1% rain
8pm80°48% rh9mph1% rain
9pm77°66% rh10mph1% rain
10pm76°68% rh11mph1% rain
11pm75°68% rh11mph1% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
CHC @ MIL7:40 PMAmerican Family Fieldhitter-friendly park70°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+2.1% carry
Temp70°F
Humidity65%
Wind6 mph
Pressure992 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.168 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
7pm78°71% rh7mph0% rain
8pm75°79% rh6mph0% rain
9pm73°80% rh6mph0% rain
10pm71°78% rh6mph0% rain
11pm70°65% rh6mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
AZ @ KC7:40 PMKauffman Stadiumpitcher-friendly park76°F, wind 7 mph
Weather — WINDS IN-1.4% carry
Temp76°F
Humidity82%
Wind7 mph
Pressure986 mb
Rain chance31%
Air density1.142 kg/m³
Open-air park.
7pm82°70% rh5mph23% rain
8pm79°79% rh5mph23% rain
9pm77°82% rh5mph26% rain
10pm77°83% rh3mph23% rain
11pm76°82% rh7mph31% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data