Board for 2026-07-21 · Sparrow Data

LAD @ PHI6:40 PMCitizens Bank Parkhitter-friendly park74°F, wind 8 mph

Weather — WINDS OUT +3.2% carry

Temp74°F

Humidity87%

Wind8 mph

Pressure1006 mb

Air density1.170 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

J.T. RealmutoPHIT3 · Solid

we say 14% +2.5% over normal 1.22x · ATS

+career hard-hit rate, +park factor

2 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Kyle SchwarberPHIT1 · Slugger

we say 29% +2.0% over normal 1.07x · FAVORITES

+park factor, +season hard-hit rate

3 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Shohei OhtaniLADT2 · Power Bat

we say 24% +-1.9% over normal 0.93x · FAVORITES

+park factor, −SP career HR rate

4 home runs in his last 15 games

no

MIN @ CLE6:40 PMProgressive Fieldpitcher-friendly park83°F, wind 12 mph

Weather — WINDS OUT +4.3% carry

Temp83°F

Humidity67%

Wind12 mph

Pressure979 mb

Air density1.121 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Daniel SchneemannCLET3 · Solid

we say 14% +4.8% over normal 1.52x · ELEVATED

+SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate

1 home run in his last 15 games

not yet graded

Petey HalpinCLET4 · The Field

we say 10% +1.2% over normal 1.13x · ATS

−lineup slot, −season hard-hit rate

1 home run in his last 15 games

no

Parker Messick

lineup expected to homer 1.01 times vs 1.25 normally · MOUND

strong suppression spot

1 HR allowed

TB @ TOR7:07 PMRogers Centreneutral park69°F, wind 8 mph

Weather — WINDS IN +2.0% carry

Temp69°F

Humidity89%

Wind8 mph

Pressure990 mb

Air density1.165 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jonathan ArandaTBT3 · Solid

we say 16% +1.5% over normal 1.10x · ATS

+career hard-hit rate, +lineup slot

1 home run in his last 15 games

no

Junior CamineroTBT2 · Power Bat

we say 23% +-3.4% over normal 0.87x · FAVORITES

+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate

5 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Drew Rasmussen

lineup expected to homer 0.97 times vs 1.25 normally · MOUND

elite suppression spot

0 HR allowed

Kevin Gausman

lineup expected to homer 0.83 times vs 0.95 normally · MOUND

strong suppression spot

2 HR allowed

SD @ ATL7:15 PMTruist Parkhitter-friendly park87°F, wind 7 mph

Weather — WINDS IN +0.0% carry

Temp87°F

Humidity65%

Wind7 mph

Pressure976 mb

Air density1.108 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Austin RileyATLT3 · Solid

we say 18% +6.1% over normal 1.53x · ELEVATED · ATS

+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate

3 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Mike YastrzemskiATLT3 · Solid

we say 16% +4.0% over normal 1.33x · ELEVATED

+recent hard-hit rate, +park factor

3 home runs in his last 15 games

not yet graded

Fernando Tatis Jr.SDT3 · Solid

we say 14% +4.3% over normal 1.42x · ELEVATED

+career barrel rate, −SP career HR rate

2 home runs in his last 15 games

HOME RUN

Matt OlsonATLT2 · Power Bat

we say 21% +1.2% over normal 1.06x · FAVORITES

+career barrel rate, +park factor

4 home runs in his last 15 games

no

NYM @ MIL7:40 PMAmerican Family Fieldhitter-friendly park73°F, wind 12 mph

Weather — WINDS OUT +2.5% carry

Temp73°F

Humidity83%

Wind12 mph

Pressure986 mb

Air density1.151 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Brett BatyNYMT3 · Solid

we say 14% +3.2% over normal 1.29x · ELEVATED

+career barrel rate, +park factor

2 home runs in his last 15 games

not yet graded

Joey OrtizMILT4 · The Field

we say 12% +5.6% over normal 1.91x · SLEEPERS · ATS

+park factor, +SP career HR rate

3 home runs in his last 15 games

not yet graded

Juan SotoNYMT2 · Power Bat

we say 23% +-2.0% over normal 0.92x · FAVORITES

+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate

4 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Zach Thornton

lineup expected to homer 1.13 times vs 1.04 normally · MOUND

essentially neutral

0 HR allowed

SF @ KC7:40 PMKauffman Stadiumpitcher-friendly park87°F, wind 11 mph

Weather — WINDS IN +0.1% carry

Temp87°F

Humidity47%

Wind11 mph

Pressure982 mb

Air density1.117 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Bryce EldridgeSFT3 · Solid

we say 16% +1.5% over normal 1.10x · ATS

−park factor, +career barrel rate

4 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Luinder Avila

lineup expected to homer 1.00 times vs 1.17 normally · MOUND

strong suppression spot

0 HR allowed

CWS @ TEX8:05 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park102°F, wind 2 mph

Weather — CROSSWIND +2.3% carry

Temp102°F

Humidity30%

Wind2 mph

Pressure990 mb

Air density1.096 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Josh JungTEXT3 · Solid

we say 14% +3.4% over normal 1.31x · ELEVATED

+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate

1 home run in his last 15 games

not yet graded

Brandon NimmoTEXT3 · Solid

we say 14% +4.3% over normal 1.44x · ELEVATED · ATS

+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate

1 home run in his last 15 games

HOME RUN

Colson MontgomeryCWST2 · Power Bat

we say 24% +-3.7% over normal 0.87x · FAVORITES

+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate

4 home runs in his last 15 games

not yet graded

Munetaka MurakamiCWST2 · Power Bat

we say 24% +-2.3% over normal 0.91x · FAVORITES

+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate

3 home runs in his last 15 games

no

DET @ CHC8:05 PMWrigley Fieldneutral park75°F, wind 10 mph

Weather — WINDS IN -0.5% carry

Temp75°F

Humidity70%

Wind10 mph

Pressure987 mb

Air density1.148 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Riley GreeneDETT2 · Power Bat

we say 18% +2.7% over normal 1.17x · ATS

+career barrel rate, −SP career HR rate

5 home runs in his last 15 games

no

MIA @ HOU8:10 PMDaikin Parkhitter-friendly park97°F, wind 3 mph

Weather — WINDS OUT +3.4% carry

Temp97°F

Humidity37%

Wind3 mph

Pressure1008 mb

Air density1.127 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Kyle StowersMIAT2 · Power Bat

we say 20% +6.9% over normal 1.51x · ELEVATED

+career barrel rate, +park factor

3 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Heriberto HernándezMIAT2 · Power Bat

we say 18% +5.6% over normal 1.45x · ELEVATED

+SP career HR rate, +recent barrel rate

3 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Jakob MarseeMIAT4 · The Field

we say 12% +5.3% over normal 1.83x · SLEEPERS

+park factor, +SP career barrels allowed

1 home run in his last 15 games

no

Taylor TrammellHOUT4 · The Field

we say 12% +4.1% over normal 1.50x · ATS

+park factor, +career barrel rate

2 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Yordan AlvarezHOUT1 · Slugger

we say 25% +0.7% over normal 1.03x · FAVORITES

+park factor, +career barrel rate

6 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Tatsuya Imai

lineup expected to homer 0.88 times vs 0.68 normally · MOUND

vulnerable spot — hitters' night

1 HR allowed

WSH @ COL8:40 PMCoors Fieldneutral park93°F, wind 14 mph

Weather — WINDS OUT +6.7% carry

Temp93°F

Humidity27%

Wind14 mph

Pressure845 mb

Air density0.953 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Andrés ChaparroWSHT3 · Solid

we say 16% +4.9% over normal 1.44x · ELEVATED

+career barrel rate, +SP strikeout rate

2 home runs in his last 15 games

not yet graded

Kyle KarrosCOLT3 · Solid

we say 14% +6.1% over normal 1.77x · SLEEPERS · ATS

+park factor, +recent barrel rate

4 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Willi CastroCOLT4 · The Field

we say 13% +4.7% over normal 1.53x · SLEEPERS

+park factor, +SP career HR rate

3 home runs in his last 15 games

no

James WoodWSHT2 · Power Bat

we say 23% +2.3% over normal 1.11x · FAVORITES

+SP strikeout rate, +recent hard-hit rate

7 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Hunter GoodmanCOLT2 · Power Bat

we say 21% +-2.2% over normal 0.91x · FAVORITES

+career barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate

3 home runs in his last 15 games

HOME RUN

STL @ LAA9:38 PMAngel Stadiumhitter-friendly park85°F, wind 10 mph

Weather — WINDS OUT +4.5% carry

Temp85°F

Humidity36%

Wind10 mph

Pressure1008 mb

Air density1.153 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jorge SolerLAAT2 · Power Bat

we say 18% +3.6% over normal 1.24x · ELEVATED · ATS

+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate

No home runs in his last 15 games

no

CIN @ SEA9:40 PMT-Mobile Parkneutral park87°F, wind 4 mph

Weather — CROSSWIND +4.0% carry

Temp87°F

Humidity42%

Wind4 mph

Pressure1011 mb

Air density1.153 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Elly De La CruzCINT3 · Solid

we say 16% +2.7% over normal 1.21x · ATS

+recent hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate

3 home runs in his last 15 games

HOME RUN

ATH @ AZ9:40 PMChase Fieldpitcher-friendly park100°F, wind 5 mph

Weather — WINDS OUT +2.3% carry

Temp100°F

Humidity30%

Wind5 mph

Pressure971 mb

Air density1.079 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Henry BolteATHT4 · The Field

we say 12% +4.7% over normal 1.61x · SLEEPERS · ATS

+SP career HR rate, +season barrel rate

1 home run in his last 15 games

no

Shea LangeliersATHT2 · Power Bat

we say 21% +-1.3% over normal 0.94x · FAVORITES

+SP career HR rate, +career hard-hit rate

3 home runs in his last 15 games

HOME RUN

Henry DavisPITT3 · Solid

we say 18% +5.9% over normal 1.50x · ELEVATED · ATS

+park factor, +pull tendency

3 home runs in his last 15 games

not yet graded

Bryan ReynoldsPITT3 · Solid

we say 16% +4.2% over normal 1.36x · ELEVATED

+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate

3 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Nick GonzalesPITT5 · Longshot

we say 8% +3.0% over normal 1.58x · SLEEPERS

+park factor, +lineup slot

2 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Esmerlyn ValdezPITT2 · Power Bat

we say 24% +-4.5% over normal 0.84x · FAVORITES

+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate

6 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Ben RiceNYYT2 · Power Bat

we say 24% +-0.4% over normal 0.98x · FAVORITES

+park factor, −SP career HR rate

5 home runs in his last 15 games

no

Leody TaverasBALT4 · The Field

we say 10% +3.4% over normal 1.48x · ATS

+SP career HR rate, +park factor

2 home runs in his last 15 games

no