ELEVATED0 of 9 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 1.
SLEEPERS0 of 6 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.4.
AROUND SLATE0 of 11 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.9.
FAVORITES1 of 10 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
MOUND SUPPRESS7 home runs allowed across 3 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 4 — which is not what we called for.
MOUND VULN0 home runs allowed across 2 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 2 — which is not what we called for.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
SF @ ATL6:05 PMTruist Parkhitter-friendly park82°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+0.7% carry
Temp82°F
Humidity50%
Wind4 mph
Pressure981 mb
Rain chance1%
Air density1.129 kg/m³
Open-air park.
6pm92°43% rh5mph1% rain
7pm91°41% rh6mph1% rain
8pm87°42% rh4mph1% rain
9pm84°46% rh4mph1% rain
10pm82°50% rh4mph1% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
6pm85°73% rh4mph18% rain
7pm79°89% rh13mph26% rain
8pm77°88% rh9mph33% rain
9pm78°87% rh10mph25% rain
10pm77°89% rh7mph21% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 1.08 times vs 0.92 normally · MOUND
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
0 HR allowed
MIA @ WSH6:45 PMNationals Parkneutral park79°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+0.8% carry
Temp79°F
Humidity79%
Wind4 mph
Pressure1016 mb
Rain chance6%
Air density1.172 kg/m³
Open-air park.
6pm88°56% rh0mph6% rain
7pm87°57% rh2mph14% rain
8pm84°60% rh2mph10% rain
9pm80°75% rh5mph6% rain
10pm79°79% rh4mph6% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
DET @ MIN7:40 PMTarget Fieldhitter-friendly park73°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+1.1% carry
Temp73°F
Humidity61%
Wind2 mph
Pressure982 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.149 kg/m³
Open-air park.
7pm87°35% rh3mph0% rain
8pm83°38% rh5mph0% rain
9pm78°52% rh5mph0% rain
10pm75°56% rh4mph0% rain
11pm73°61% rh2mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIL @ CHC7:40 PMWrigley Fieldneutral park76°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+3.5% carry
Temp76°F
Humidity83%
Wind5 mph
Pressure991 mb
Rain chance2%
Air density1.150 kg/m³
Open-air park.
7pm81°72% rh6mph4% rain
8pm78°77% rh6mph5% rain
9pm77°79% rh7mph3% rain
10pm76°82% rh6mph3% rain
11pm76°83% rh5mph2% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 1.01 times vs 1.12 normally · MOUND
lean suppression
6 HR allowed
ATH @ TEX8:05 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park87°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND-0.2% carry
Temp87°F
Humidity37%
Wind4 mph
Pressure993 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.133 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
8pm94°28% rh5mph0% rain
9pm92°30% rh4mph0% rain
10pm90°32% rh5mph0% rain
11pm88°33% rh4mph0% rain
12am88°39% rh4mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
8pm84°70% rh5mph2% rain
9pm83°73% rh4mph1% rain
10pm82°78% rh5mph1% rain
11pm81°79% rh4mph2% rain
12am81°87% rh2mph1% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
BAL @ COL8:40 PMCoors Fieldneutral park64°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT-0.1% carry
Temp64°F
Humidity88%
Wind4 mph
Pressure843 mb
Rain chance8%
Air density1.001 kg/m³
Open-air park.
8pm65°79% rh2mph17% rain
9pm66°82% rh4mph9% rain
10pm65°88% rh3mph6% rain
11pm64°89% rh3mph14% rain
12am62°94% rh3mph6% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
9pm84°49% rh3mph3% rain
10pm82°51% rh3mph2% rain
11pm81°55% rh5mph1% rain
12am82°54% rh4mph0% rain
1am82°59% rh4mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data
