ELEVATED1 of 12 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS0 of 3 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.2.
AROUND SLATE1 of 7 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.8.
FAVORITES1 of 12 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 3.
MOUND SUPPRESS2 home runs allowed across 3 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 3 — which is what we called for.
MOUND VULN5 home runs allowed across 2 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 2 — which is what we called for.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
PHI @ BAL1:35 PMOriole Park at Camden Yardshitter-friendly park80°F, wind 9 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+3.3% carry
Temp80°F
Humidity86%
Wind9 mph
Pressure1008 mb
Air density1.158 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIA @ NYM1:40 PMCiti Fieldneutral park82°F, wind 14 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+5.5% carry
Temp82°F
Humidity75%
Wind14 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Air density1.159 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
AZ @ CLE1:40 PMProgressive Fieldpitcher-friendly park76°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+1.7% carry
Temp76°F
Humidity87%
Wind10 mph
Pressure983 mb
Air density1.137 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIL @ LAA3:15 PMAngel Stadiumhitter-friendly park79°F, wind 9 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+3.9% carry
Temp79°F
Humidity67%
Wind9 mph
Pressure1003 mb
Air density1.158 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.93 times vs 1.05 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
1 HR allowed
DET @ ATH4:05 PMSutter Health Parkhitter-friendly park90°F, wind 7 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+5.2% carry
Temp90°F
Humidity29%
Wind7 mph
Pressure1004 mb
Air density1.139 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
we say 23%+7.8% over normal1.52x · ELEVATED · ATS · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +park factor
2 home runs in his last 15 games
not yet graded
MIN @ SEA4:10 PMT-Mobile Parkneutral park63°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS IN-2.6% carry
Temp63°F
Humidity56%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1021 mb
Air density1.221 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
SF @ SD4:10 PMPetco Parkneutral park71°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+1.4% carry
Temp71°F
Humidity87%
Wind4 mph
Pressure1008 mb
Air density1.181 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.86 times vs 0.99 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
1 HR allowed
BOS @ LAD7:20 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park68°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+0.9% carry
Temp68°F
Humidity94%
Wind2 mph
Pressure989 mb
Air density1.166 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 1.22 times vs 1.02 normally · MOUND
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
4 HR allowed
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data
