ELEVATED2 of 17 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS0 of 3 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.2.
AROUND SLATE3 of 13 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 1.
FAVORITES3 of 9 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
MOUND SUPPRESS3 home runs allowed across 3 starts. That's right about what a typical night for those lineups gives.
MOUND VULN2 home runs allowed across 1 start. A typical night for those lineups is 1 — which is what we called for.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
SEA @ LAD10:10 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park77°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+3.3% carry
Temp77°F
Humidity70%
Wind8 mph
Pressure989 mb
Air density1.145 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
AZ @ PIT6:40 PMPNC Parkpitcher-friendly park79°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+4.4% carry
Temp79°F
Humidity72%
Wind8 mph
Pressure977 mb
Air density1.127 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
BAL @ DET6:40 PMComerica Parkpitcher-friendly park77°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+4.5% carry
Temp77°F
Humidity64%
Wind10 mph
Pressure987 mb
Air density1.143 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
TOR @ WSH6:45 PMNationals Parkneutral park87°F, wind 14 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+7.1% carry
Temp87°F
Humidity50%
Wind14 mph
Pressure1000 mb
Air density1.139 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
COL @ SD9:40 PMPetco Parkneutral park76°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+2.0% carry
Temp76°F
Humidity73%
Wind5 mph
Pressure1008 mb
Air density1.171 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.92 times vs 1.05 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
2 HR allowed
BOS @ ATH9:40 PMSutter Health Parkhitter-friendly park95°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+5.8% carry
Temp95°F
Humidity20%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1007 mb
Air density1.133 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIL @ SF9:45 PMOracle Parkpitcher-friendly park68°F, wind 17 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+6.1% carry
Temp68°F
Humidity74%
Wind17 mph
Pressure1011 mb
Air density1.194 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data