Sparrow Data

Sparrow Data

Board archive — 2026-08-21

2026-08-21

The boards exactly as posted that night, with results. Nothing has been reordered, filtered or removed.

15games
31picks
Munetaka Murakamitop pick · 25%
CHC @ SEA10:10 PMT-Mobile Parkneutral park64°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +1.4% carry
CF8 mph
Temp64°F
Humidity81%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1014 mb
Air density1.206 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Julio RodríguezSEAT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +3.1% over normal 1.21x · ELEVATED
+career hard-hit rate, +SP strikeout rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Alex BregmanCHCT4 · The Field
we say 13% +3.5% over normal 1.36x · ELEVATED
+recent hard-hit rate, +pull tendency
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Alex BregmanCHCT4 · The Field
we say 13% +3.5% over normal 1.36x · AROUND SLATE
+recent hard-hit rate, +pull tendency
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +2.3% over normal 1.12x · FAVORITES
+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
PIT @ LAD10:10 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park67°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -0.5% carry
CF2 mph
Temp67°F
Humidity90%
Wind2 mph
Pressure995 mb
Air density1.176 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Teoscar HernándezLADT3 · Solid
we say 16% +4.1% over normal 1.34x · ELEVATED
+park factor, +career barrel rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Kyle TuckerLADT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.0% over normal 1.27x · ELEVATED
+park factor, −SP career HR rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Nick GonzalesPITT5 · Longshot
we say 8% +3.0% over normal 1.59x · SLEEPERS
+park factor, −SP career HR rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Teoscar HernándezLADT3 · Solid
we say 16% +4.1% over normal 1.34x · AROUND SLATE
+park factor, +career barrel rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Shohei OhtaniLADT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +-1.0% over normal 0.96x · FAVORITES
−SP career HR rate, +park factor
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
ATL @ MIL4:10 PMAmerican Family Fieldhitter-friendly park70°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +3.7% carry
CF10 mph
Temp70°F
Humidity86%
Wind10 mph
Pressure991 mb
Air density1.163 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Joey OrtizMILT5 · Longshot
we say 9% +0.7% over normal 1.08x · AROUND SLATE
+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Matt OlsonATLT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +-3.8% over normal 0.85x · FAVORITES
+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
STL @ PHI6:40 PMCitizens Bank Parkhitter-friendly park70°F, wind 3 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -1.1% carry
CF3 mph
Temp70°F
Humidity92%
Wind3 mph
Pressure1017 mb
Air density1.193 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Blaze JordanSTLT4 · The Field
we say 10% +3.8% over normal 1.56x · SLEEPERS
+season barrel rate, +recent barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Blaze JordanSTLT4 · The Field
we say 10% +3.8% over normal 1.56x · AROUND SLATE
+season barrel rate, +recent barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Kyle SchwarberPHIT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +1.7% over normal 1.08x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +SP career HR rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Bryce HarperPHIT2 · Power Bat
we say 20% +2.2% over normal 1.12x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +SP career HR rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
TOR @ NYY7:05 PMYankee Stadiumhitter-friendly park69°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -1.1% carry
CF2 mph
Temp69°F
Humidity88%
Wind2 mph
Pressure1018 mb
Air density1.198 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.NYYT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +2.5% over normal 1.16x · AROUND SLATE
+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Ben RiceNYYT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +0.2% over normal 1.01x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Cam SchlittlerT1 · Slugger
lineup expected to homer 0.86 times vs 1.01 normally · MOUND SUPPRESS
strong suppression spot
no grade — game not played
WSH @ MIA7:10 PMloanDepot parkpitcher-friendly park82°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -1.2% carry
CF4 mph
Temp82°F
Humidity80%
Wind4 mph
Pressure1018 mb
Air density1.165 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

José TenaWSHT4 · The Field
we say 12% +3.1% over normal 1.33x · ELEVATED
+lineup slot, +park factor
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Jakob MarseeMIAT4 · The Field
we say 10% +3.8% over normal 1.61x · SLEEPERS
+pull tendency, +park factor
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Jakob MarseeMIAT4 · The Field
we say 10% +3.8% over normal 1.61x · AROUND SLATE
+pull tendency, +park factor
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
SF @ BOS7:10 PMFenway Parkpitcher-friendly park66°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -1.5% carry
CF6 mph
Temp66°F
Humidity78%
Wind6 mph
Pressure1018 mb
Air density1.207 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Bryce EldridgeSFT3 · Solid
we say 18% +2.8% over normal 1.19x · AROUND SLATE
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
TB @ BAL7:15 PMOriole Park at Camden Yardshitter-friendly park73°F, wind 3 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -1.3% carry
CF3 mph
Temp73°F
Humidity68%
Wind3 mph
Pressure1016 mb
Air density1.189 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Gunnar HendersonBALT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.0% over normal 1.23x · ELEVATED
+park factor, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Gunnar HendersonBALT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.0% over normal 1.23x · AROUND SLATE
+park factor, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Junior CamineroTBT2 · Power Bat
we say 20% +-3.4% over normal 0.86x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, −SP career HR rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Pete AlonsoBALT2 · Power Bat
we say 19% +-2.4% over normal 0.89x · FAVORITES
+recent hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Trevor RogersT1 · Slugger
lineup expected to homer 0.66 times vs 0.77 normally · MOUND SUPPRESS
strong suppression spot
No home runs in his last 3 games
no grade — game not played
NYM @ CWS7:40 PMRate Fieldneutral park70°F, wind 12 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +3.1% carry
CF12 mph
Temp70°F
Humidity81%
Wind12 mph
Pressure991 mb
Air density1.163 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

A.J. EwingNYMT4 · The Field
we say 12% +3.2% over normal 1.35x · ELEVATED
+lineup slot, +season barrel rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
A.J. EwingNYMT4 · The Field
we say 12% +3.2% over normal 1.35x · AROUND SLATE
+lineup slot, +season barrel rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Munetaka MurakamiCWST1 · Slugger
we say 25% +-1.8% over normal 0.93x · FAVORITES
+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Sean BurkeT1 · Slugger
lineup expected to homer 0.83 times vs 0.72 normally · MOUND VULN
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
no grade — game not played
DET @ KC8:10 PMKauffman Stadiumpitcher-friendly park78°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -0.7% carry
CF4 mph
Temp78°F
Humidity68%
Wind4 mph
Pressure984 mb
Air density1.137 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Vinnie PasquantinoKCT4 · The Field
we say 13% +1.5% over normal 1.12x · AROUND SLATE
−park factor, +recent hard-hit rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Troy MeltonT1 · Slugger
lineup expected to homer 0.76 times vs 0.88 normally · MOUND SUPPRESS
strong suppression spot
no grade — game not played
ATH @ HOU8:10 PMDaikin Parkhitter-friendly park81°F, wind 7 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +1.3% carry
CF7 mph
Temp81°F
Humidity81%
Wind7 mph
Pressure1014 mb
Air density1.163 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Lawrence ButlerATHT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.3% over normal 1.26x · ELEVATED
+park factor, +season hard-hit rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Lawrence ButlerATHT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.3% over normal 1.26x · AROUND SLATE
+park factor, +season hard-hit rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
LAA @ TEX8:15 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park92°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +2.1% carry
CF5 mph
Temp92°F
Humidity34%
Wind5 mph
Pressure994 mb
Air density1.122 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Vaughn GrissomLAAT4 · The Field
we say 12% +1.7% over normal 1.17x · AROUND SLATE
+season hard-hit rate, +pull tendency
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
CLE @ COL8:40 PMCoors Fieldneutral park74°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +1.2% carry
CF6 mph
Temp74°F
Humidity24%
Wind6 mph
Pressure844 mb
Air density0.988 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

José RamírezCLET3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.8% over normal 1.37x · ELEVATED
+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Ezequiel TovarCOLT4 · The Field
we say 12% +3.8% over normal 1.47x · SLEEPERS
+career barrel rate, +season barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
José RamírezCLET3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.8% over normal 1.37x · AROUND SLATE
+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
MIN @ SD9:40 PMPetco Parkneutral park69°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +0.3% carry
CF2 mph
Temp69°F
Humidity99%
Wind2 mph
Pressure1013 mb
Air density1.190 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Xander BogaertsSDT4 · The Field
we say 12% +3.4% over normal 1.39x · SLEEPERS
+recent hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Xander BogaertsSDT4 · The Field
we say 12% +3.4% over normal 1.39x · AROUND SLATE
+recent hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Byron BuxtonMINT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +-1.5% over normal 0.94x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
CIN @ AZ9:40 PMChase Fieldpitcher-friendly park92°F, wind 3 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -0.2% carry
CF3 mph
Temp92°F
Humidity18%
Wind3 mph
Pressure971 mb
Air density1.100 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Gabriel MorenoAZT3 · Solid
we say 16% +4.2% over normal 1.36x · ELEVATED
+SP strikeout rate, +lineup slot
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Tim TawaAZT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.8% over normal 1.32x · ELEVATED
+SP strikeout rate, +park factor
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Gabriel MorenoAZT3 · Solid
we say 16% +4.2% over normal 1.36x · AROUND SLATE
+SP strikeout rate, +lineup slot
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-20. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data