Sparrow Data

Sparrow Data

Board archive — 2026-08-22

2026-08-22

The boards exactly as posted that night, with results. Nothing has been reordered, filtered or removed.

15games
35picks
Shohei Ohtanitop pick · 25%
TOR @ NYY1:35 PMYankee Stadiumhitter-friendly park76°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -2.0% carry
CF8 mph
Temp76°F
Humidity70%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1014 mb
Air density1.179 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jesús SánchezTORT3 · Solid
we say 18% +4.8% over normal 1.38x · ELEVATED
+park factor, +career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TORT4 · The Field
we say 12% +5.4% over normal 1.77x · SLEEPERS
+park factor, +career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TORT4 · The Field
we say 12% +5.4% over normal 1.77x · AROUND SLATE
+park factor, +career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Ben RiceNYYT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +-2.2% over normal 0.90x · FAVORITES
+park factor, −SP career HR rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
ATL @ MIL2:10 PMAmerican Family Fieldhitter-friendly park78°F, wind 11 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +4.6% carry
CF11 mph
Temp78°F
Humidity42%
Wind11 mph
Pressure992 mb
Air density1.150 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Austin RileyATLT3 · Solid
we say 16% +5.4% over normal 1.51x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Mike YastrzemskiATLT3 · Solid
we say 14% +4.7% over normal 1.49x · ELEVATED
−SP strikeout rate, +recent hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Austin RileyATLT3 · Solid
we say 16% +5.4% over normal 1.51x · AROUND SLATE
+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Matt OlsonATLT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-0.6% over normal 0.98x · FAVORITES
+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
WSH @ MIA4:10 PMloanDepot parkpitcher-friendly park83°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -0.7% carry
CF4 mph
Temp83°F
Humidity73%
Wind4 mph
Pressure1017 mb
Air density1.161 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Xavier EdwardsMIAT5 · Longshot
we say 8% +2.5% over normal 1.47x · SLEEPERS
−season hard-hit rate, −career hard-hit rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Griffin ConineMIAT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +2.8% over normal 1.15x · AROUND SLATE
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
José TenaWSHT4 · The Field
we say 12% +3.0% over normal 1.32x · AROUND SLATE
+season hard-hit rate, +pull tendency
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Griffin ConineMIAT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +2.8% over normal 1.15x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
STL @ PHI6:05 PMCitizens Bank Parkhitter-friendly park70°F, wind 3 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -0.8% carry
CF3 mph
Temp70°F
Humidity92%
Wind3 mph
Pressure1013 mb
Air density1.187 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

JJ WetherholtSTLT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +6.6% over normal 1.57x · ELEVATED
+park factor, +lineup slot
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Blaze JordanSTLT4 · The Field
we say 12% +5.1% over normal 1.78x · SLEEPERS
+season barrel rate, −platoon edge
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
JJ WetherholtSTLT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +6.6% over normal 1.57x · AROUND SLATE
+park factor, +lineup slot
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Kyle SchwarberPHIT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +1.8% over normal 1.08x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +SP career HR rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
LAA @ TEX7:05 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park95°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +3.4% carry
CF8 mph
Temp95°F
Humidity32%
Wind8 mph
Pressure992 mb
Air density1.115 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Corey SeagerTEXT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +4.2% over normal 1.23x · ELEVATED
+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Brandon NimmoTEXT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.4% over normal 1.32x · ELEVATED
+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Travis d'ArnaudLAAT4 · The Field
we say 10% +4.4% over normal 1.73x · SLEEPERS
+recent barrel rate, +season barrel rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Travis d'ArnaudLAAT4 · The Field
we say 10% +4.4% over normal 1.73x · AROUND SLATE
+recent barrel rate, +season barrel rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Corey SeagerTEXT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +4.2% over normal 1.23x · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
TB @ BAL7:05 PMOriole Park at Camden Yardshitter-friendly park73°F, wind 7 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +0.5% carry
CF7 mph
Temp73°F
Humidity89%
Wind7 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Air density1.182 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Tyler O'NeillBALT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +7.6% over normal 1.71x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Tyler O'NeillBALT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +7.6% over normal 1.71x · AROUND SLATE
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Junior CamineroTBT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +-2.6% over normal 0.89x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Brandon YoungT1 · Slugger
lineup expected to homer 0.94 times vs 1.09 normally · MOUND SUPPRESS
strong suppression spot
no grade — game not played
ATH @ HOU7:10 PMDaikin Parkhitter-friendly park81°F, wind 7 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +1.3% carry
CF7 mph
Temp81°F
Humidity66%
Wind7 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Air density1.163 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Cam SmithHOUT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.6% over normal 1.29x · ELEVATED
+recent hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Cam SmithHOUT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.6% over normal 1.29x · AROUND SLATE
+recent hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Yordan AlvarezHOUT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +1.5% over normal 1.07x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
NYM @ CWS7:10 PMRate Fieldneutral park66°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +0.9% carry
CF5 mph
Temp66°F
Humidity82%
Wind5 mph
Pressure994 mb
Air density1.178 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Brett BatyNYMT3 · Solid
we say 16% +6.5% over normal 1.68x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
A.J. EwingNYMT4 · The Field
we say 12% +3.3% over normal 1.36x · ELEVATED
+lineup slot, +season barrel rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Brett BatyNYMT3 · Solid
we say 16% +6.5% over normal 1.68x · AROUND SLATE
+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Munetaka MurakamiCWST2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-2.9% over normal 0.89x · FAVORITES
+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
CHC @ SEA7:15 PMT-Mobile Parkneutral park62°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -0.9% carry
CF5 mph
Temp62°F
Humidity82%
Wind5 mph
Pressure1016 mb
Air density1.216 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Michael ConfortoCHCT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.7% over normal 1.30x · ELEVATED
+SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Alex BregmanCHCT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.9% over normal 1.37x · ELEVATED
+SP career HR rate, +recent fly-ball rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Alex BregmanCHCT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.9% over normal 1.37x · AROUND SLATE
+SP career HR rate, +recent fly-ball rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
PIT @ LAD7:15 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park70°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +0.8% carry
CF2 mph
Temp70°F
Humidity82%
Wind2 mph
Pressure993 mb
Air density1.167 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Kyle TuckerLADT3 · Solid
we say 16% +4.9% over normal 1.45x · ELEVATED
+park factor, +career barrel rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Nick GonzalesPITT4 · The Field
we say 12% +7.2% over normal 2.43x · SLEEPERS
+park factor, −SP strikeout rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Nick GonzalesPITT4 · The Field
we say 12% +7.2% over normal 2.43x · AROUND SLATE
+park factor, −SP strikeout rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Shohei OhtaniLADT1 · Slugger
we say 25% +1.8% over normal 1.08x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Max MuncyLADT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +3.0% over normal 1.16x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Jared JonesT1 · Slugger
lineup expected to homer 1.21 times vs 1.02 normally · MOUND VULN
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
no grade — game not played
DET @ KC7:15 PMKauffman Stadiumpitcher-friendly park74°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -2.1% carry
CF4 mph
Temp74°F
Humidity61%
Wind4 mph
Pressure986 mb
Air density1.153 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jac CaglianoneKCT3 · Solid
we say 16% +1.5% over normal 1.10x · AROUND SLATE
−park factor, +career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Michael WachaT1 · Slugger
lineup expected to homer 0.62 times vs 0.74 normally · MOUND SUPPRESS
strong suppression spot
no grade — game not played
SF @ BOS7:15 PMFenway Parkpitcher-friendly park66°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -0.8% carry
CF2 mph
Temp66°F
Humidity89%
Wind2 mph
Pressure1014 mb
Air density1.203 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Wilyer AbreuBOST2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +4.1% over normal 1.29x · ELEVATED
+SP career HR rate, +SP strikeout rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Wilyer AbreuBOST2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +4.1% over normal 1.29x · AROUND SLATE
+SP career HR rate, +SP strikeout rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Willson ContrerasBOST2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +1.6% over normal 1.08x · FAVORITES
+SP career HR rate, +career hard-hit rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
CLE @ COL8:10 PMCoors Fieldneutral park76°F, wind 17 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +4.8% carry
CF17 mph
Temp76°F
Humidity42%
Wind17 mph
Pressure846 mb
Air density0.987 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

José RamírezCLET3 · Solid
we say 14% +4.0% over normal 1.39x · ELEVATED
+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
José RamírezCLET3 · Solid
we say 14% +4.0% over normal 1.39x · AROUND SLATE
+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
CIN @ AZ8:10 PMChase Fieldpitcher-friendly park94°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +1.1% carry
CF5 mph
Temp94°F
Humidity18%
Wind5 mph
Pressure970 mb
Air density1.094 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Ryan WaldschmidtAZT4 · The Field
we say 10% +4.8% over normal 1.85x · SLEEPERS
−career hard-hit rate, +season barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Ryan WaldschmidtAZT4 · The Field
we say 10% +4.8% over normal 1.85x · AROUND SLATE
−career hard-hit rate, +season barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Michael SorokaT1 · Slugger
lineup expected to homer 0.86 times vs 0.99 normally · MOUND SUPPRESS
strong suppression spot
no grade — game not played
MIN @ SD8:40 PMPetco Parkneutral park71°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -0.2% carry
CF2 mph
Temp71°F
Humidity94%
Wind2 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Air density1.185 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail for this game — the hourly table is a historical backfill and does not cover current slates. No precipitation is shown because no precipitation field is stored.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Fernando Tatis Jr.SDT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +4.7% over normal 1.35x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
6 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Fernando Tatis Jr.SDT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +4.7% over normal 1.35x · AROUND SLATE
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
6 home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Byron BuxtonMINT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-0.5% over normal 0.98x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no grade — game not played
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-21. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data