ELEVATED3 of 13 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS0 of 6 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.4.
AROUND SLATE1 of 13 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 1.
FAVORITES4 of 11 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
MOUND SUPPRESS3 home runs allowed across 3 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 4 — which is what we called for.
MOUND VULN1 home runs allowed across 1 start. That's right about what a typical night for those lineups gives.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
MIN @ SEA10:10 PMT-Mobile Parkneutral park80°F, wind 3 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+2.7% carry
Temp80°F
Humidity37%
Wind3 mph
Pressure1014 mb
Air density1.173 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
BOS @ LAD10:10 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park78°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+3.6% carry
Temp78°F
Humidity67%
Wind8 mph
Pressure992 mb
Air density1.147 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 1.08 times vs 1.29 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
2 HR allowed
PHI @ BAL7:05 PMOriole Park at Camden Yardshitter-friendly park85°F, wind 7 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+2.8% carry
Temp85°F
Humidity53%
Wind7 mph
Pressure1013 mb
Air density1.157 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIA @ NYM7:10 PMCiti Fieldneutral park78°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+4.1% carry
Temp78°F
Humidity71%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Air density1.170 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
AZ @ CLE7:10 PMProgressive Fieldpitcher-friendly park79°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — WINDS IN+0.6% carry
Temp79°F
Humidity73%
Wind4 mph
Pressure990 mb
Air density1.141 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 1.43 times vs 1.16 normally · MOUND
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
1 HR allowed
MIL @ LAA9:38 PMAngel Stadiumhitter-friendly park84°F, wind 7 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+3.9% carry
Temp84°F
Humidity58%
Wind7 mph
Pressure1006 mb
Air density1.150 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
DET @ ATH9:40 PMSutter Health Parkhitter-friendly park99°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT+5.1% carry
Temp99°F
Humidity21%
Wind5 mph
Pressure1010 mb
Air density1.129 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
SF @ SD9:45 PMPetco Parkneutral park76°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND+1.7% carry
Temp76°F
Humidity77%
Wind5 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Air density1.173 kg/m³
Open-air park.
No hourly detail stored for this game.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.90 times vs 1.03 normally · MOUND
strong suppression spot
0 HR allowed
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data
