Sparrow Data

Pick history — Jimmy Crooks

Jimmy Crooks

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 9 games across 9 nights, from 10 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.61 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

20%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-22	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.094	1.49x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-23	ELEVATED	T4 · The Field	0.123	0.092	1.34x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-07-28	ELEVATED	T4 · The Field	0.123	0.090	1.37x	−park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-03	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.085	1.58x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-04	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.102	1.37x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-08-08	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.123	0.099	1.25x	−park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-08-10	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.121	0.097	1.25x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-12	AROUND SLATE	T5 · Longshot	0.092	0.095	0.97x	−park factor, −SP career HR rate	no
2026-08-17	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.092	1.55x	+park factor, −SP career HR rate	no grade — game not played

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data