Sparrow Data
Pick history — Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 7 games across 7 nights
Times picked
7graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
2against 1.12 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
29%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.114 | 1.23x | +season hard-hit rate, +season fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-07-24 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.117 | 1.36x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-07-25 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.176 | 0.125 | 1.40x | +SP strikeout rate, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-07-27 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.163 | 0.123 | 1.32x | +SP strikeout rate, +recent fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-07-28 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.143 | 0.122 | 1.17x | +SP strikeout rate, −SP career HR rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-08-05 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.176 | 0.124 | 1.41x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-07 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.122 | 1.31x | +SP strikeout rate, +SP career HR rate | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data