Sparrow Data

Pick history — Dylan Crews

Dylan Crews

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 11 games across 11 nights, from 12 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 1.73 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

18%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-12	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.114	1.23x	+season hard-hit rate, +season fly-ball rate	no
2026-07-24	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.117	1.36x	+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate	HOME RUN
2026-07-25	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.125	1.40x	+SP strikeout rate, +SP career HR rate	no
2026-07-27	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.163	0.123	1.32x	+SP strikeout rate, +recent fly-ball rate	no
2026-07-28	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.122	1.17x	+SP strikeout rate, −SP career HR rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-05	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.124	1.41x	+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-08-07	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.122	1.31x	+SP strikeout rate, +SP career HR rate	no
2026-08-24	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.126	1.26x	+SP strikeout rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-08-26	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.126	1.26x	+park factor, +lineup slot	no
2026-09-06	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.124	1.28x	+park factor, −lineup slot	no
2026-09-19	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.127	1.10x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data