Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 9 games across 9 nights, from 14 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 5 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.57 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.055 | 1.62x | +career barrel rate, −recent fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-07-19 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.121 | 0.054 | 2.24x | +career barrel rate, −recent fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-07-22 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.054 | 1.65x | +career barrel rate, −SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-07-24 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.053 | 1.97x | +career barrel rate, −recent fly-ball rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-26 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.053 | 1.67x | −SP career barrels allowed, −SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-07-28 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.087 | 0.053 | 1.66x | −park factor, −SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-08-03 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.092 | 0.052 | 1.76x | +career barrel rate, −lineup slot | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-05 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.053 | 1.89x | +season barrel rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-07 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.053 | 1.68x | −park factor, +career barrel rate | not yet graded |