Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 12 games across 12 nights, from 18 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 6 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.71 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.061 | 1.91x | +recent barrel rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-18 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.060 | 1.34x | −SP career HR rate, +recent barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-20 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.059 | 1.36x | −SP career HR rate, −pull tendency | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-22 | AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.081 | 0.059 | 1.38x | −SP career HR rate, −pull tendency | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-23 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.059 | 1.50x | +recent barrel rate, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-25 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.092 | 0.058 | 1.58x | +recent barrel rate, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-28 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.057 | 2.04x | +season barrel rate, +recent barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-30 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.057 | 1.82x | +recent barrel rate, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-31 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.057 | 2.07x | +season barrel rate, +recent barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-05 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.057 | 1.54x | −lineup slot, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-07 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.057 | 1.75x | −park factor, +recent barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-08 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.057 | 1.82x | −park factor, +season barrel rate | no |