Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 24 games across 24 nights, from 32 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 8 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 1.46 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.061 | 1.91x | +recent barrel rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-18 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.060 | 1.34x | −SP career HR rate, +recent barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-20 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.059 | 1.36x | −SP career HR rate, −pull tendency | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-22 | AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.081 | 0.059 | 1.38x | −SP career HR rate, −pull tendency | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-23 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.059 | 1.50x | +recent barrel rate, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-25 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.092 | 0.058 | 1.58x | +recent barrel rate, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-28 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.057 | 2.04x | +season barrel rate, +recent barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-30 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.057 | 1.82x | +recent barrel rate, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-31 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.057 | 2.07x | +season barrel rate, +recent barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-05 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.057 | 1.54x | −lineup slot, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-07 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.057 | 1.75x | −park factor, +recent barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-08 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.057 | 1.82x | −park factor, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-23 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.124 | 0.069 | 1.78x | +park factor, −lineup slot | no |
| 2026-08-25 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.069 | 1.71x | +park factor, +recent barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-26 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.069 | 1.80x | +park factor, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-03 | SLEEPERS | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.069 | 2.02x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-08 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.134 | 0.069 | 1.93x | +park factor, +season barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-11 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.069 | 2.04x | +season barrel rate, +season HR pace | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-12 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.069 | 1.77x | +season barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-09-13 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.069 | 1.79x | +season barrel rate, +season HR pace | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-15 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.069 | 1.71x | +park factor, −SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-09-16 | SLEEPERS | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.068 | 2.07x | +park factor, +season barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-17 | SLEEPERS | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.069 | 2.04x | +park factor, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-18 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.124 | 0.068 | 1.83x | +park factor, +season barrel rate | not yet graded |