Sparrow Data

Pick history — Max Schuemann

Max Schuemann

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 6 games across 6 nights, from 8 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.31 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-18	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.063	1.65x	+park factor, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-07-26	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.100	0.066	1.52x	−SP career HR rate, +park factor	no
2026-07-27	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.066	1.59x	+recent barrel rate, +season barrel rate	no
2026-07-28	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.123	0.066	1.87x	+park factor, +recent barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-07-30	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.067	1.75x	+recent barrel rate, −career barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-08-02	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.067	1.75x	+recent barrel rate, +SP career HR rate	not yet graded

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data