Sparrow Data

Pick history — James Wood

James Wood

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 11 games across 11 nights, from 18 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 7 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 2.59 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-19	AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.203	1.18x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-20	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.203	1.03x	+recent hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-21	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.226	0.203	1.11x	+SP strikeout rate, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-24	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.226	0.205	1.11x	+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-07-25	ELEVATED, FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.255	0.203	1.25x	+SP strikeout rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-26	ELEVATED, FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.203	1.18x	+season hard-hit rate, +SP career HR rate	HOME RUN
2026-07-27	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES	T1 · Slugger	0.255	0.209	1.22x	+recent hard-hit rate, +SP strikeout rate	no
2026-07-28	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.226	0.209	1.08x	+SP strikeout rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-30	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.226	0.208	1.09x	+park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-02	ELEVATED, FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.207	1.17x	+park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-03	ELEVATED, FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.207	1.17x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data