Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 22 games across 22 nights, from 29 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 7 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 4.83 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.203 | 1.18x | +park factor, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-20 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.203 | 1.03x | +recent hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-21 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.203 | 1.11x | +SP strikeout rate, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-24 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.205 | 1.11x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-25 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T1 · Slugger | 0.255 | 0.203 | 1.25x | +SP strikeout rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-26 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.203 | 1.18x | +season hard-hit rate, +SP career HR rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-07-27 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES | T1 · Slugger | 0.255 | 0.209 | 1.22x | +recent hard-hit rate, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-07-28 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.209 | 1.08x | +SP strikeout rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-30 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.208 | 1.09x | +park factor, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-02 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.207 | 1.17x | +park factor, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-03 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.207 | 1.17x | +park factor, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-02 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.227 | 0.227 | 1.00x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-04 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.203 | 0.222 | 0.91x | −SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-05 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.221 | 0.95x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-06 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.221 | 1.09x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-11 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.222 | 1.09x | +career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-13 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.221 | 1.09x | +season hard-hit rate, −recent fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-09-19 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.224 | 0.94x | −park factor, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-20 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.224 | 0.94x | −park factor, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-21 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.225 | 1.01x | −park factor, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-25 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.211 | 1.08x | +season hard-hit rate, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-09-26 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.209 | 1.01x | −recent fly-ball rate, −SP career HR rate | no grade — game not played |