Sparrow Data

Pick history — Jorge Soler

Jorge Soler

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 6 games across 6 nights, from 9 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 3 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.90 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-20	AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.147	1.24x	+career barrel rate, −SP career HR rate	no
2026-07-21	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.147	1.24x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-27	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.191	0.143	1.34x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-28	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.141	1.29x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-29	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.188	0.140	1.34x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-08-01	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.139	1.15x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data