Sparrow Data

Pick history — Hunter Goodman

Hunter Goodman

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 12 games across 12 nights

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 2.18 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

10%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-09	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.191	0.237	0.81x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-17	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.234	0.90x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-21	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.232	0.91x	+career barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-07-24	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.227	0.240	0.95x	−SP career HR rate, +park factor	no
2026-07-25	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.239	1.01x	+park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-07-28	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.239	0.88x	−SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-07-29	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.232	0.91x	+career barrel rate, +SP career HR rate	no
2026-08-02	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.232	1.04x	+career barrel rate, +SP strikeout rate	not yet graded
2026-08-05	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.235	0.226	1.04x	+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-08-10	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.226	0.93x	+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-11	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.241	0.226	1.07x	+SP strikeout rate, +SP career HR rate	no
2026-08-12	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.231	0.226	1.02x	+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data