Sparrow Data
Pick history — Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 6 games across 6 nights, from 7 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.
Times picked
6graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 0.65 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
17%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.070 | 1.26x | +park factor, −career barrel rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-07-28 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.077 | 1.30x | −lineup slot, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-07-29 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.077 | 1.30x | −lineup slot, −SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-07-31 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.077 | 1.60x | +SP career barrels allowed, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-14 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.065 | 1.82x | +park factor, −lineup slot | no |
| 2026-08-16 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.064 | 1.84x | +park factor, +SP strikeout rate | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data