Sparrow Data

Pick history — Randal Grichuk

Randal Grichuk

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 9 games across 9 nights, from 13 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 4 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.28 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-12	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.106	1.35x	+career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-07-28	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.109	1.31x	+career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-07-31	ELEVATED	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.096	1.40x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-08-05	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.096	1.46x	+career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-08-08	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.096	1.46x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-08-11	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.096	1.46x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-12	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.096	1.46x	−SP career HR rate, +recent hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-08-13	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.097	1.47x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-17	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.097	1.44x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no grade — game not played

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data