Sparrow Data

Pick history — Bryce Eldridge

Bryce Eldridge

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 24 games across 24 nights, from 39 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 15 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 3.96 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

22%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-09	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.121	1.32x	+career barrel rate, −park factor	HOME RUN
2026-07-11	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.132	1.21x	−park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-07-12	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.129	1.37x	+career barrel rate, −park factor	no
2026-07-17	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.127	1.44x	+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-07-18	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.191	0.138	1.39x	+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-19	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.191	0.136	1.41x	+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-07-20	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.188	0.146	1.28x	+career barrel rate, −park factor	no
2026-07-21	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.144	1.10x	−park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-07-22	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.188	0.143	1.31x	+career barrel rate, −park factor	no
2026-07-24	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.141	1.29x	+career barrel rate, −park factor	no
2026-07-25	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.140	1.31x	−park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-07-27	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.136	1.17x	−park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-07-28	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.135	1.06x	−park factor, +career barrel rate	HOME RUN
2026-07-29	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.203	0.144	1.41x	+career barrel rate, −park factor	no
2026-07-30	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.188	0.143	1.31x	−park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-08-03	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.191	0.137	1.40x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-08-07	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.136	1.18x	−park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-08-08	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.134	1.07x	−park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-08-09	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.133	1.06x	−park factor, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-10	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.132	1.21x	−park factor, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-12	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.139	1.32x	+career barrel rate, −park factor	no
2026-08-14	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.137	1.33x	−park factor, +career barrel rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-15	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.145	1.26x	+career barrel rate, −park factor	no
2026-08-16	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.144	1.11x	−park factor, +career barrel rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data