Sparrow Data

Pick history — Jasson Domínguez

Jasson Domínguez

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 7 games across 7 nights, from 8 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 1.06 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

29%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-10	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.107	1.26x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	HOME RUN
2026-07-11	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.108	1.30x	+pull tendency, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-25	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.103	1.37x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	HOME RUN
2026-07-28	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.153	0.113	1.34x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-02	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.113	1.41x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-03	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.113	1.55x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-10	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.114	1.40x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data