Sparrow Data
Pick history — Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 14 games across 14 nights
Times picked
12graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 2.76 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
8%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.277 | 0.82x | +career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-10 | FAVORITES | T1 · Slugger | 0.255 | 0.277 | 0.92x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-11 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.277 | 0.87x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-12 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.275 | 0.88x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-17 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.275 | 0.82x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-18 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.274 | 0.88x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-19 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.225 | 0.274 | 0.82x | +career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-07-20 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.278 | 0.87x | −SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-21 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.278 | 0.87x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-22 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.280 | 0.86x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-24 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.231 | 0.269 | 0.86x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-26 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.262 | 0.81x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-28 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.203 | 0.263 | 0.77x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-13 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.191 | 0.231 | 0.83x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data