Sparrow Data

Sparrow Data

Pick history — Jonathan Aranda

Jonathan Aranda

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 12 games across 12 nights, from 14 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.

Times picked

11

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

2

against 1.82 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

18%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

DateBoardsTierProbBaseLiftWhyResult
2026-07-10AROUND SLATET3 · Solid0.1600.1391.14x+career hard-hit rate, +lineup slotno
2026-07-11AROUND SLATET3 · Solid0.1600.1401.14x+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rateno
2026-07-12AROUND SLATET3 · Solid0.1600.1391.14x+career hard-hit rate, +lineup slotHOME RUN
2026-07-21AROUND SLATET3 · Solid0.1600.1451.10x+career hard-hit rate, +lineup slotno
2026-07-28ELEVATEDT3 · Solid0.1760.1461.21x+SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rateno
2026-08-05ELEVATED, AROUND SLATET2 · Power Bat0.1880.1341.40x+SP career barrels allowed, +SP strikeout rateno
2026-08-07AROUND SLATET3 · Solid0.1430.1331.07x+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rateHOME RUN
2026-08-08AROUND SLATET3 · Solid0.1530.1401.09x+career hard-hit rate, +park factorno
2026-08-10AROUND SLATET3 · Solid0.1600.1371.16x+park factor, +career hard-hit rateno
2026-08-11ELEVATEDT2 · Power Bat0.1830.1361.34x+park factor, +career hard-hit rateno
2026-08-12ELEVATED, AROUND SLATET2 · Power Bat0.1830.1351.35x+park factor, +career hard-hit rateno
2026-08-17AROUND SLATET3 · Solid0.1430.1321.09x+career hard-hit rate, +SP strikeout rateno grade — game not played
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data