Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 17 games across 17 nights
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 3.25 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.227 | 0.262 | 0.87x | −park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-22 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.253 | 0.89x | −park factor, +career barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-23 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.191 | 0.255 | 0.75x | −park factor, −SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-07-24 | FAVORITES | T1 · Slugger | 0.255 | 0.255 | 1.00x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-25 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.253 | 0.95x | +SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-26 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.253 | 0.95x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-28 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.253 | 0.95x | +career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-13 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.249 | 0.97x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-15 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.251 | 0.84x | +career barrel rate, −SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-16 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.251 | 0.96x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-17 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.251 | 0.96x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-21 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.231 | 0.246 | 0.94x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-22 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.246 | 0.98x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-23 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.227 | 0.246 | 0.93x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-24 | FAVORITES | T1 · Slugger | 0.255 | 0.246 | 1.04x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-25 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.203 | 0.246 | 0.83x | +career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-26 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.246 | 0.86x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | not yet graded |