Sparrow Data

Pick history — José Ramírez

José Ramírez

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 38 games across 38 nights, from 63 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 25 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 5.03 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-23	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.126	1.27x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-27	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.127	1.26x	+park factor, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-28	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.128	1.38x	+park factor, +SP career HR rate	no
2026-07-29	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.127	1.26x	+park factor, +lineup slot	no
2026-08-02	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.127	1.26x	+SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-06	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.116	1.21x	+career hard-hit rate, −SP career HR rate	no
2026-08-07	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.116	1.37x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-08	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.115	1.53x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	not yet graded
2026-08-12	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.116	1.23x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-13	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.109	1.28x	−park factor, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-14	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.109	1.46x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	not yet graded
2026-08-16	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.110	1.45x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-19	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.111	1.26x	−park factor, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-21	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.104	1.37x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-22	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.103	1.39x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-23	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.103	1.70x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	not yet graded
2026-08-24	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.188	0.104	1.80x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-26	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.163	0.104	1.56x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-28	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.104	1.53x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-30	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.153	0.103	1.47x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	HOME RUN
2026-09-03	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.111	1.29x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-04	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.111	1.44x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-05	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.103	1.13x	−park factor, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-07	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.104	1.35x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-08	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.178	0.104	1.71x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-09	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.104	1.53x	+pull tendency, +park factor	no
2026-09-11	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.098	1.43x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-12	ELEVATED	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.098	1.37x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-14	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.099	1.06x	−park factor, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-15	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.099	1.42x	−park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-16	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.124	0.098	1.26x	−park factor, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-18	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.099	1.62x	+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency	HOME RUN
2026-09-19	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.099	1.44x	−park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-20	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.099	1.62x	+pull tendency, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-22	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.123	0.093	1.32x	+pull tendency, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-23	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.093	1.52x	+pull tendency, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-25	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.123	0.093	1.33x	−park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-26	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.124	0.093	1.34x	−park factor, +career hard-hit rate	no grade — game not played

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data