Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 12 games across 12 nights, from 18 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 6 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 1.56 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.126 | 1.27x | +career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-27 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.127 | 1.26x | +park factor, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-28 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.176 | 0.128 | 1.38x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-07-29 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.127 | 1.26x | +park factor, +lineup slot | no |
| 2026-08-02 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.127 | 1.26x | +SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-06 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.116 | 1.21x | +career hard-hit rate, −SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-08-07 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.116 | 1.37x | +career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency | no |
| 2026-08-08 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.176 | 0.115 | 1.53x | +career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-12 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.143 | 0.116 | 1.23x | +career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency | no |
| 2026-08-13 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.109 | 1.28x | −park factor, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-14 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.109 | 1.46x | +career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-16 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.110 | 1.45x | +career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency | no |