Sparrow Data

Pick history — Josh Jung

Josh Jung

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 6 games across 6 nights, from 9 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 3 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.60 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

25%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-21	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.109	1.31x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-09-13	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.100	1.40x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-16	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.093	1.51x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-22	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.109	1.46x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-24	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.108	1.47x	+recent hard-hit rate, +recent barrel rate	HOME RUN
2026-09-25	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.116	1.37x	+recent hard-hit rate, +recent barrel rate	not yet graded

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data