Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 7 games across 7 nights
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.76 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.062 | 1.70x | +park factor, −lineup slot | HOME RUN |
| 2026-07-21 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.071 | 1.48x | +SP career HR rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-07-24 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.070 | 1.50x | +park factor, −lineup slot | no |
| 2026-07-25 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.069 | 1.52x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-31 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.076 | 1.55x | +park factor, +lineup slot | no |
| 2026-08-23 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.074 | 1.42x | +park factor, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-29 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.079 | 1.48x | +park factor, +recent fly-ball rate | no |