Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 12 games across 12 nights, from 15 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 3 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 1.52 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.134 | 0.097 | 1.38x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-21 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.082 | 1.50x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-14 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.111 | 1.27x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-15 | AROUND SLATE, ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.109 | 1.29x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-25 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.106 | 1.32x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-27 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.103 | 1.36x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-03 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.099 | 1.42x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-04 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.099 | 1.42x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-13 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.094 | 1.49x | +career barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-17 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.143 | 0.093 | 1.54x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | HOME RUN |
| 2026-09-18 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.104 | 1.35x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-09-24 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.100 | 1.40x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | not yet graded |