Sparrow Data
Pick history — Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 13 games across 13 nights, from 15 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.
Times picked
11graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 1.20 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
9%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.064 | 1.83x | +park factor, +SP career barrels allowed | no |
| 2026-07-22 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.064 | 1.58x | +park factor, −lineup slot | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-25 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.092 | 0.063 | 1.45x | +park factor, −lineup slot | no |
| 2026-07-31 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.134 | 0.067 | 1.99x | +season hard-hit rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-02 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.124 | 0.067 | 1.84x | +SP career HR rate, +park factor | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-07 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.062 | 1.89x | +SP career HR rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-08 | AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.062 | 1.29x | −SP career barrels allowed, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-09 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.062 | 1.69x | +park factor, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-12 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.092 | 0.062 | 1.48x | +park factor, −career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-13 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.062 | 1.43x | +pull tendency, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-14 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.121 | 0.056 | 2.16x | +park factor, +lineup slot | no |
| 2026-08-15 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.134 | 0.056 | 2.40x | +park factor, +lineup slot | HOME RUN |
| 2026-08-16 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.062 | 1.89x | +park factor, −lineup slot | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data