Sparrow Data
Pick history — Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 5 games across 5 nights, from 7 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.
Times picked
3graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 0.29 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
33%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.053 | 1.51x | +park factor, −lineup slot | HOME RUN |
| 2026-07-21 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.061 | 1.91x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-24 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.062 | 1.69x | +park factor, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-07-26 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.061 | 1.71x | +park factor, −career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-02 | AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.062 | 1.30x | −career barrel rate, +recent HR count | not yet graded |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data