ELEVATED2 of 16 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS0 of 4 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.3.
AROUND SLATE2 of 15 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
FAVORITES3 of 10 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
MOUND SUPPRESS1 home runs allowed across 3 starts. A typical night for those lineups is 3 — which is what we called for.
MOUND VULN1 home runs allowed across 1 start. That's right about what a typical night for those lineups gives.
One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.
SD @ LAD10:10 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park62°F, wind 1 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND-1.4% carry
Temp62°F
Humidity90%
Wind1 mph
Pressure992 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.183 kg/m³
Open-air park.
10pm66°88% rh4mph0% rain
11pm64°91% rh3mph0% rain
12am66°87% rh4mph0% rain
1am64°88% rh2mph0% rain
2am63°88% rh3mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIL @ PHI6:40 PMCitizens Bank Parkhitter-friendly park59°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS IN-6.0% carry
Temp59°F
Humidity78%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1026 mb
Rain chance6%
Air density1.233 kg/m³
Open-air park.
6pm62°79% rh8mph17% rain
7pm61°78% rh8mph13% rain
8pm60°81% rh7mph9% rain
9pm60°80% rh9mph8% rain
10pm59°78% rh8mph6% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIA @ CHC7:40 PMWrigley Fieldneutral park58°F, wind 13 mph
Weather — WINDS IN-5.7% carry
Temp58°F
Humidity70%
Wind13 mph
Pressure1004 mb
Rain chance3%
Air density1.210 kg/m³
Open-air park.
7pm58°67% rh12mph2% rain
8pm58°67% rh14mph2% rain
9pm59°65% rh15mph2% rain
10pm58°67% rh14mph3% rain
11pm58°70% rh13mph3% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
lineup expected to homer 0.90 times vs 0.71 normally · MOUND
vulnerable spot — hitters' night
1 HR allowed
NYM @ TEX8:05 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park83°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS IN-2.5% carry
Temp83°F
Humidity52%
Wind6 mph
Pressure995 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.142 kg/m³
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
8pm90°36% rh5mph0% rain
9pm88°39% rh4mph0% rain
10pm86°44% rh4mph0% rain
11pm84°50% rh6mph0% rain
12am84°53% rh9mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
AZ @ COL8:40 PMCoors Fieldneutral park60°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT-0.5% carry
Temp60°F
Humidity74%
Wind6 mph
Pressure842 mb
Rain chance2%
Air density1.010 kg/m³
Open-air park.
8pm62°68% rh6mph5% rain
9pm61°66% rh5mph3% rain
10pm60°72% rh4mph1% rain
11pm59°74% rh7mph1% rain
12am67°43% rh8mph17% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.
9pm58°77% rh4mph0% rain
10pm57°74% rh1mph0% rain
11pm56°80% rh5mph1% rain
12am55°87% rh4mph0% rain
1am54°86% rh5mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
LAA @ ATH9:40 PMSutter Health Parkhitter-friendly park59°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND-2.9% carry
Temp59°F
Humidity77%
Wind4 mph
Pressure1011 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.216 kg/m³
Open-air park.
9pm67°67% rh5mph0% rain
10pm64°70% rh5mph0% rain
11pm62°72% rh6mph0% rain
12am60°77% rh4mph0% rain
1am58°83% rh3mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
MIN @ SF9:45 PMOracle Parkpitcher-friendly park54°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT-0.9% carry
Temp54°F
Humidity86%
Wind5 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Rain chance0%
Air density1.230 kg/m³
Open-air park.
9pm57°92% rh5mph0% rain
10pm55°89% rh4mph0% rain
11pm55°88% rh4mph0% rain
12am57°91% rh3mph0% rain
1am55°92% rh2mph0% rain
Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data
