Sparrow Data

Pick history — Ryan Waldschmidt

Ryan Waldschmidt

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 11 games across 11 nights, from 14 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 3 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 1.03 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

10%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-12	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.047	2.52x	+park factor, −lineup slot	no
2026-07-22	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.080	0.043	1.86x	+season barrel rate, −lineup slot	HOME RUN
2026-07-23	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.089	0.060	1.48x	−park factor, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-07-26	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.059	1.99x	+season barrel rate, +SP strikeout rate	not yet graded
2026-08-04	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.080	0.054	1.48x	+park factor, −platoon edge	no
2026-08-06	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.100	0.053	1.90x	+park factor, +season barrel rate	no
2026-08-09	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.065	2.07x	+season barrel rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-08-10	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.064	1.63x	+season barrel rate, +season HR pace	no
2026-08-11	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.063	1.66x	+season barrel rate, −career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-12	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.062	1.68x	+season barrel rate, −career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-14	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.061	1.91x	+season barrel rate, +SP career HR rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data