Sparrow Data

Pick history — Connor Wong

Connor Wong

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 12 games across 12 nights, from 14 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 1.08 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-09	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.089	0.045	1.97x	+park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-19	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T5 · Longshot	0.081	0.043	1.87x	+park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-04	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T5 · Longshot	0.080	0.041	1.94x	+park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-10	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.081	0.053	1.52x	−platoon edge, −lineup slot	no
2026-08-13	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.081	0.053	1.54x	−platoon edge, −lineup slot	no
2026-08-19	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.065	1.82x	+park factor, +SP strikeout rate	no
2026-08-23	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.065	2.05x	+pull tendency, +SP career HR rate	no
2026-08-24	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.089	0.065	1.37x	−park factor, −SP career HR rate	not yet graded
2026-09-01	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.064	1.64x	+park factor, +SP workload	no
2026-09-05	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.064	1.64x	+SP strikeout rate, +park factor	no
2026-09-18	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.100	0.065	1.55x	−SP strikeout rate, −lineup slot	no
2026-09-25	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.065	1.60x	−SP career HR rate, +park factor	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data