Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 8 games across 8 nights, from 11 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 3 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.48 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.087 | 1.34x | +park factor, −SP career HR rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-19 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.086 | 1.43x | +park factor, +season hard-hit rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-27 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.124 | 0.085 | 1.46x | −recent fly-ball rate, +season barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-03 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.081 | 1.45x | +park factor, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-07 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.081 | 1.52x | −recent fly-ball rate, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-08-08 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.080 | 1.31x | −recent fly-ball rate, +season barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-09 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.081 | 1.45x | −recent fly-ball rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-14 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.124 | 0.080 | 1.55x | +SP career HR rate, +season barrel rate | no |