Sparrow Data
Pick history — José Tena
José Tena
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 14 games across 14 nights, from 19 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 5 of them.
Times picked
8graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 1.00 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
12%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.087 | 1.34x | +park factor, −SP career HR rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-19 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.086 | 1.43x | +park factor, +season hard-hit rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-27 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.124 | 0.085 | 1.46x | −recent fly-ball rate, +season barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-03 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.081 | 1.45x | +park factor, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-07 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.081 | 1.52x | −recent fly-ball rate, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-08-08 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.080 | 1.31x | −recent fly-ball rate, +season barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-09 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.081 | 1.45x | −recent fly-ball rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-14 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.124 | 0.080 | 1.55x | +SP career HR rate, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-19 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.081 | 1.45x | −recent fly-ball rate, +season barrel rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-08-20 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.094 | 1.49x | +season hard-hit rate, −SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-21 | ELEVATED | T4 · The Field | 0.124 | 0.093 | 1.33x | +lineup slot, +park factor | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-22 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.093 | 1.32x | +season hard-hit rate, +pull tendency | no |
| 2026-08-23 | ELEVATED | T4 · The Field | 0.134 | 0.092 | 1.47x | +park factor, +lineup slot | no |
| 2026-08-30 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.134 | 0.088 | 1.53x | +lineup slot, +park factor | not yet graded |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data