Sparrow Data

Pick history — Gabriel Moreno

Gabriel Moreno

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 5 games across 5 nights, from 6 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.60 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

25%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-08-21	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.117	1.36x	+SP strikeout rate, +lineup slot	no
2026-08-23	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.109	1.30x	+SP strikeout rate, +park factor	no
2026-08-26	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.109	1.29x	+SP strikeout rate, +lineup slot	not yet graded
2026-09-13	ELEVATED	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.101	1.33x	+lineup slot, +recent hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-09-22	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.122	1.31x	+lineup slot, +park factor	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data