Sparrow Data
Pick history — Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 8 games across 8 nights, from 9 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.
Times picked
8graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
3against 1.76 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
38%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.203 | 0.211 | 0.96x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-31 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.211 | 1.07x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-08-04 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.231 | 0.207 | 1.12x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-06 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.201 | 1.05x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-10 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.200 | 1.05x | +career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-11 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.200 | 1.20x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-08-14 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.200 | 1.13x | +recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-15 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.200 | 1.05x | +career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate | HOME RUN |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data