Sparrow Data
Pick history — Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 3 games across 3 nights
Times picked
2graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.17 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.087 | 0.92x | −SP career HR rate, −career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-02 | AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.086 | 0.93x | −recent fly-ball rate, −career barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-14 | AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.089 | 0.99x | −park factor, −career barrel rate | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data