Sparrow Data
Pick history — Blaze Jordan
Blaze Jordan
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 16 games across 16 nights, from 24 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 8 of them.
Times picked
15graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
2against 1.60 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
13%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.074 | 1.58x | +season barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-23 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.073 | 1.44x | −park factor, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-26 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.068 | 1.53x | −park factor, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-27 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.067 | 1.32x | −SP career HR rate, −park factor | no |
| 2026-07-29 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.066 | 1.59x | −park factor, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-02 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.062 | 1.61x | −platoon edge, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-04 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.061 | 2.02x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-05 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.060 | 1.67x | +park factor, +recent barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-08 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.059 | 1.77x | −park factor, +season barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-15 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.092 | 0.058 | 1.58x | −recent fly-ball rate, +season barrel rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-08-17 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.072 | 1.62x | +SP career HR rate, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-18 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.070 | 1.49x | +season barrel rate, −lineup slot | no |
| 2026-08-20 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.068 | 1.54x | +park factor, −recent fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-08-21 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.067 | 1.75x | +season barrel rate, +recent barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-22 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.066 | 1.78x | +season barrel rate, −platoon edge | no |
| 2026-08-27 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.064 | 1.63x | −park factor, +season barrel rate | HOME RUN |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data