Sparrow Data

Pick history — Blaze Jordan

Blaze Jordan

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 11 games across 11 nights, from 17 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 6 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.94 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

11%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-22	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.074	1.58x	+season barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-23	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.073	1.44x	−park factor, +season barrel rate	no
2026-07-26	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.068	1.53x	−park factor, +season barrel rate	no
2026-07-27	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T5 · Longshot	0.089	0.067	1.32x	−SP career HR rate, −park factor	no
2026-07-29	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.066	1.59x	−park factor, +season barrel rate	no
2026-08-02	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.100	0.062	1.61x	−platoon edge, +season barrel rate	no
2026-08-04	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.123	0.061	2.02x	+park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-08-05	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.100	0.060	1.67x	+park factor, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-08-08	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.059	1.77x	−park factor, +season barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-08-15	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.092	0.058	1.58x	−recent fly-ball rate, +season barrel rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-17	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.072	1.62x	+SP career HR rate, +season barrel rate	no grade — game not played

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data