Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 2 games across 2 nights
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.18 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.055 | 1.61x | +park factor, −season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-15 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.092 | 0.055 | 1.67x | +park factor, −career hard-hit rate | no |