Sparrow Data

Pick history — Jesús Sánchez

Jesús Sánchez

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 12 games across 12 nights, from 15 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 3 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 1.09 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-08-04	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.114	1.40x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-08-06	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.124	1.13x	−SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-08-08	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.124	1.47x	+park factor, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-08-12	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.125	1.12x	−SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-08-16	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.125	1.41x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-08-18	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.153	0.127	1.21x	+recent barrel rate, +SP strikeout rate	no
2026-08-22	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.128	1.38x	+park factor, +career barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-08-25	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.163	0.119	1.36x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-08-26	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.153	0.118	1.29x	+career barrel rate, +SP strikeout rate	no
2026-08-28	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.110	1.45x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-03	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.112	1.27x	+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-24	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.121	1.50x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	not yet graded

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data