Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 5 games across 5 nights, from 6 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.32 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.114 | 1.40x | +career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-06 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.124 | 1.13x | −SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-08 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.124 | 1.47x | +park factor, +recent barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-12 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.125 | 1.12x | −SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-16 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.176 | 0.125 | 1.41x | +career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate | not yet graded |