Sparrow Data
Pick history — Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 5 games across 5 nights, from 10 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 5 of them.
Times picked
4graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.93 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.196 | 1.07x | +SP strikeout rate, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-02 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.197 | 1.22x | +park factor, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-10 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.237 | 0.193 | 1.23x | +career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-13 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.199 | 1.21x | +SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-17 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.195 | 1.24x | +SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate | no grade — game not played |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data