Sparrow Data
Pick history — Corey Seager
Corey Seager
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 8 games across 8 nights, from 15 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 7 of them.
Times picked
7graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
3against 1.52 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
43%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.203 | 0.183 | 1.11x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-11 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.183 | 1.31x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-12 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.183 | 1.31x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-08-14 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.194 | 1.09x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-08-22 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.227 | 0.185 | 1.23x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-03 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.188 | 0.156 | 1.20x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-09-09 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.177 | 1.19x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-09-26 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.180 | 1.17x | +SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate | no grade — game not played |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data