Sparrow Data
Pick history — JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 8 games across 8 nights, from 11 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 3 of them.
Times picked
8graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 1.23 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
12%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.163 | 0.122 | 1.34x | +career hard-hit rate, +season fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-08-17 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.121 | 1.32x | +park factor, −SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-08-20 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.118 | 1.35x | +park factor, +season fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-08-22 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.116 | 1.57x | +park factor, +lineup slot | HOME RUN |
| 2026-08-29 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.143 | 0.120 | 1.19x | −park factor, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-18 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.119 | 1.04x | −park factor, −SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-09-22 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.117 | 1.20x | −SP strikeout rate, +lineup slot | no |
| 2026-09-23 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.116 | 1.37x | +lineup slot, +season fly-ball rate | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data